Race 1 - 11:40AM Accolade Wines Handicap Tips (Morphettville Parks Track) (1000 METRES)
There's little depth to this contest that clearly revolves around the resuming favourite 2. STAR OF UMA. Recording two stylish wins to start her spring campaign which culminated in a third at Stakes level, it does seem strange that she's first-up in May (setback?). Her trial was okay prior to an April 27 jump out from Camperdown, a stronger piece of work albeit it was filmed in the next postcode.
One that has a fitness edge on her is the second market elect. 1. Great Leveller who was a little disappointing first-up in a Class 2 but with the blinkers on, bolted in last start at Balaklava. Some of his prior form is okay and barrier two on the Parks track is a plus.
A galloper at a price ($20.50 @ Sportsbetting) that should relish a strong tempo along with a big drop in grade is 8. Morphett Road. This gelding is hit or miss but he may just get the suck run here from gate four.
The Victorian from around 3. Cop A Clip is average but he's fit, racing consistently and prepared by the Maher & Eustace yard. He goes into the numbers despite a wide draw.
Race 2 - 12:15PM TAB South Australian Sires' Produce Stakes Tips (Morphettville Parks Track) (1400 METRES)
Open race and hoping the better barrier this time around for 10. BISCAYNE BAY can help her turn the tables on the favourite off a narrow losing margin in the Anzac Day Stakes at Flemington. A dominant winner at start two, she was a month between runs when contesting that last event and with Damien Oliver now taking the reins, hopefully we see a more positive steer from the gate three.
Although he's four runs deep into his first racing preparation, there's no knock on the recent form of 1. Three Kings who arguably should've won that April 25 feature by further after encountering traffic early in the run home. He's shown a good turn-of-foot twice at 1400m.
11. Forever And A Day landed good bets when saluting in a Geelong Maiden on April 20, and the closing sectionals of two-year-old event stacked up well for the program .She looks the likely leader from barrier four.
5. Tavikat should be suited stepping to seven furlongs and can give a cheek at a big price ($34.00 @ PlayUp). He has held his ground twice now over shorter journeys and was only half a length off Karacasu on March 27, a $7 chance here having nearly rolled Cloudy a fortnight ago.
Race 3 - 12:50PM Peter Elberg Funerals Autumn Series Final Tips (Morphettville Parks Track) (1400 METRES)
This looks a bit of a raffle, but at a double figure price, I concede an each-way chance to 1. AIGUILETTE who returned to winning form on April 24 following three prior efforts off a long spell. He carried 3kg more in last years edition of the Autumn Series Final, where he finished midfield (didn't let down on a Soft track) in what as stronger edition than this. He's won three of six starts on the Parks circuit.
Confident that this has been target for 12. He's A Balter since joining the Will Clarken stable and he's tracking into it as well as any of his rivals. While he's always given the impression that 1400m would suit, he hasn't won in six attempts over the trip. Will need luck from an inside gate.
5. Neodium shares the same striking grey looks as his full brother Terbium, and while not as brilliant as his older sibling, he's very honest. A wide run with 62kg dented his hopes of a winning hat-trick at Gawler but back to 58kg and to 1400m, he should be thereabouts.
Could make a case for 2. Classy Joe filling a hole at long odds ($26.00 @ TopSport) off the fresh effort behind Aigulette. He'll get over further deeper into the campaign but has enough class if they're running on.
Race 4 - 1:25PM Happy Birthday Michael Larecki Handicap (1200 METRES)
It's hard to knock the consistency of 6. DEBT COLLECTOR who true to form, peeled off a slick last 200m when resuming over the 1050m here on April 17, coming from an impossible position for an eventual fifth-place finish. Damian Lane takes the reins on Saturday and with a short but sharp sprint, is ideally drawn in barrier eight. With a query on the speed of this race, he's one that can sprint off any tempo.
After three runs back and down in grade from Listed level, 9. Calypso Reign found her right race on April 10 but was badly incovenienced by rhe eventual runner-up. She's had a little freshen-up from that and a quiet jump out on April 27 to keep her ticking over.
2. Designer Chief isn't the most talented runner in this field but if you were to trust just one of these to turn up, then it's likely going to be him. Has a good record in Adelaide and got back in a leader dominated affair at Caulfield last start.
4. Left Hand Hand is probably still a run or two short from peaking but from a low draw, where he can kick up for a soft run on the speed, the map is giving him enough favours to be in the mix at a double figure price ($13.00 @ Unibet Australia).
Race 5 - 2:00PM Weslo Security Handicap Tips (1050 METRES)
If 7. APPLACHIAN can ever put it all together, he'll be competing against much stronger company, but he's been his own worst enemy over 11 starts with his manners and racing pattern. Resuming on March 6, he was the only runner to make ground and win on that program before rattling home for third on April 10. Kept on the fresh side, this gelding is too good for this lot if he's in the mood.
The main threat is the resuming 5. Button Express, a mare that beat home the consistent Stakes performer She Shao Fly last autumn, which is well and truly good enough for this level. She caught the eye for fourth at BM70 level via her only attempt in the Spring.
Respect the good fresh record with 1. Balle D'or, a mare that's interestingly placed crossing the border and a sprinter that's a proven weight carrier. Her Victorian form at 64 level has her in the mix here at decent odds ($14.00 @ Palmerbet).
One at a bolters quote ($34.00 @ WinnersBet) is 3. Heavenly Bridges who felt the pinch in a BM78 on April 24 but this is a big drop in grade and off the Oakbank effort two starts back, she's worth consideration if playing the exotics here.
Race 6 - 2:40PM Furphy Provincial Super Series Final (1800 METRES)
The market has zeroed in on both Reynolds and Sadente but splitting them (and defeating the favourite) at Murray Bridge on April was 12. BAJAN, an honest galloper from the David Jolly stable that won this race last year, and carries 2.5kg less for the 2021 edition. Barring an uncustomary flop two start back, he's been ticking over fairly and although not the easiest one to catch, is a huge price.
An inconsistent mare when campaigning in Victoria, 5. Sadente has turned that around since joining the Andrew Clarken stable, recording three wins and five placings for the new yard. She did fail in both attempts so far past a mile (1700m) although is clearly going better at present.
Shayne Cahill looks not have a very progressive middle distance/staying filly on his hands with 14. Comfort Girl who is a huge price ($51.00 @ bet365). Perhaps just not seasoned enough for this currently, but she has ability and could well be the best horse out of this race in time.
The favourite 7. Reynolds does look very well in, plummeting from 58kg to 54.5kg although didn't appear to run out the mile last start and is stepping to 1800m now. May just be a little too classy irrespective, but there's enough negatives to oppose at around a $3 quote.
Race 7 - 3:20PM TAB South Australian Derby Tips (2500 METRES)
READ: Full South Australian Derby Preview
Recording four wins from five starts to date with the only defeat coming when he was freshened-up and dropping back to the mile on March 3, there's not many negatives to list with what is a straight forward galloper in 3. LIQUEURO who ran out a strong 2400m via his last attempt Caulfield. With plenty of options early from gate six, he looks the safest way to go in South Australian Derby.
Winning his last four outings, including the Port Adelaide Guineas by a big space, 2. Royal Mile is hard to knock at a double figure price ($12.00 @ bet365). There's a query on the staying trip but all you can do is win and he's prevailed in the two traditional lead-up's by safe margins.
While it's rare to see a last start Australian Derby winner continue on to Adelaide, 1. Explosive Jack is attempting to do so this year and trying so at what will now be his eighth start in is just his first racing preparation. Can't touch him at the price but he's obviously a leading hope.
This looks a target for the Chris Waller-trained 11. Solar Apex, a runner that has form around Kiku, Brookspire, Exoboom and Liqueuro. Will sit right near the speed under Michael Walker and over the staying trip, can box on for a top three/four finish at big odds ($31.00 @ Sportsbet).
Race 8 - 4:00PM Adelaide Galvanising Adelaide Guineas Tips (1600 METRES)
The ratings show 1. CHERRY TORTONI as comfortably the class runner and under the conditions, would be about best weighted horse in the country on Saturday. After he arguably should've won the Australian Guineas, this gelding was back in a farcically run Alister Clark before encountering a leader-biased track at Rosehill. Providing there's no savage bias up front, he should be winning.
8. Argeeable can be hit or miss at the barriers but from the Nitschke Stakes a fortnight ago, she does appear the most suited stepping to a mile from that. Never quite balancing up in that contest, avoiding the rail this time around will likely the plan from Damian Lane.
Hard fit and coming back from the Derby lead-up's is 3. Casino Seventeen who now gets the services of Damien Oliver. This is much more suitable back to 1600m while with no real speed drawn inside, he should be able to cross and take up the lead.
Outside of the favourite, 9. Way To Go Paula would be about the classiest runner in this field. Stakes performed last spring, she broke the Maiden in style before a second in the Nitschke Stakes. The mile and a wide gate are both queries here.
Race 9 - 4:35PM Terry Howe Printing SA Sprint Series Final Tips (1100 METRES)
With already two competitive showings at Listed level, 1. STREETCAR STRANGER could well be a Stakes class sprinter going forward. The lightly raced four-year-old bounced back third-up on April 24, negotiating a tight passage late to get the job done, but should've won by further given he was held up until the 100m. Jamie Opperman's claim sees him remain at 56kg in a very similar race. Has to be the one to beat.
I'm a shade surprised a double figure price ($11.00 @ PlayUp) is available for 2. Toff Love, who relished to drop in grade at Oakbank to bolt in two starts back before a third on April 17, a race where little else made ground. His April 30 trial win at Strathalbyn was superb.
David Jolly has yet another leading contender in the last via 5. Trip, who after looking as though midweek level would be her ceiling, improved out of sight last spring, nearly pinching a Listed race before a spell. Has drawn out but will push forward and make her own luck.
Hard to see 6. Soul Obsession turning the tables on Streetcar Stranger and Trip from the April 24 clash, however, she draws for a soft run again and in a race with a long tail to it, is in the top three/four mix again.
MORPHETTVILLE QUADDIE TIPS:
Race 6: 1,2,3,5,11,12,13,14
Race 7: 1,2,3,4,6,9,11
Race 8: 1
Race 9: 1,2
$112 gets you 100% of the Quaddie.
*Quaddie subject to change. A final version will be available here from 10am Saturday.