Race 1 - 11:15AM Elite Sand & Soil Handicap Tips (1200m)
3. STONECOAT beat nothing on debut in a Scone maiden, which doesn't jump off the page, although this isn't a strong two-year-old affair and we often see Waterhouse & Bott youngsters progress off country races, where the trip away really brings them on. It was impressive that he found another gear in that run when briefly challenged.
1. Contemporary is arguably the safest, a Godolphin colt who was luckless second-up when wide, but made amends with a dominant display third-up. Among some handy maidens, his June 29 win rated okay.
7. Tintookie ran no time on a Heavy 10 at Goulburn, albeit after camping wide and travelling strongly throughout, that debut was visually impressive.
2. True Crime fell in on debut and had every possible when rolled at $19 last start. Now draws out and is too short currently.
Race 2 - 11:50AM TAB Highway Handicap Tips (1600m)
10. BRAINZES was beaten around three lengths in a Highway attempt back in Feb, although wasn't disgraced and was end at the end of his prep. He's got home strongly second and third-up this winter, while with a 1500m and 1650m run under the belt, he should be close to a peak. Big jockey switch here and he's capable of settling closer.
3. Zadig goes up 2.5kg off his June 11 win, where he held off Bootscooter, who won her next start before just missing in the Grafton Guineas and Stepleee, who has been metro BM72 placed in his last two outings.
2. Relucent was useful for Waller before joining Paul Shailer and arrives off a midweek second in Brisbane. Very well in under the set weights conditions.
went back-to-back before a plain run, but improved last week. Bolter's odds ($41.00 @ MidasBet
), but she isn't the worst.
Race 3 - 12:25PM Midway Handicap Tips (1600m)
5. CONTRIBUTINGFACTOR is having his races spaced out and gets the blinkers on. I've always had time for this three-year-old, who was competitive in Provincial Qualifiers early autumn and then received a poor steer third-up. Got a confidence boosting win on May 14 and now drops in grade, coming out of a strong BM78 on June 11.
3. Elusive Jewel hasn't saluted since her slashing fresh win, but continues to race well. Didn't run the 2150m of the Tatts Crown, although was very honest again and her prior Sydney form reads superbly for a Midway.
8. Monfelicity saluted at 25/1 first-up via the July 9 Midway and given she sustained the longest run, there wasn't many excuses for the beaten brigade.
6. Buba also comes out of that July 9 event and is meeting many better off with the claim. Limited, but thrives on wet tracks.
Race 4 - 1:00PM ASX Refinitiv Charity July Sprint Tips (1100m)
3. ENCHANTED HEART found our blackbook file after her first-up fourth, where she was wide and without cover when spotting race fitness to the trifecta. Although plain in two subsequent Brisbane efforts, her form suggests she's more effective on wet tracks as an older mare and she's the only multiple heavy track winner in this field.
2. Rocketing By is a big watch first-up, having not raced since spring and returns as a gelding. Bowman sticks from his three winter trials (pushed out in the most recent) and he's probably the best horse in this if right.
5. Easy Single had some excuses behind Conscript, although didn't appear to relish a Heavy 9 irrespective. Drops 6kg off that and goes Hennessy to Pike.
1. Prime Candidate arguably wins the Ramornie from a better draw, but they may scratch here due to the Heavy 10.
Race 5 - 1:35PM Quayclean Handicap Tips (2400m)
8. THE MILKBYBAR KID didn't back-up last Saturday, which wasn't surprising given the win three days earlier in a two-horse race and only loss in Australia was first-up when he threw away a provincial maiden (blinkers went on after that). This BM78 is stronger compared to what he accepted for last week and the market could tell the story.
7. Yggdrasil appears an out-and-out wet tracker. This Waller mare seemed very limited at provincial and midweek level before stepping up to 2400m on July 2, where she was well backed and never looked like losing.
1. Our Candidate recorded a much-deserved win at Grafton, where he broke a big drought. Class stayer of the field and another win here wouldn't shock.
6. Marakopa arrives off a second behind Shameless Mia. Well held, but that winner would probably head this market.
Race 6 - 2:10PM TPG Handicap Tips (1500m)
3. KALINO was super impressive in two autumn lead-up trials, which made the first and second-up efforts a little puzzling, where he was very one-paced on each occasion. He clearly needed the fitness, as Kalino looked a different galloper third-up, a 1600m event that he had won a long way out. Goes up 3kg, but stays at BM72 level.
1. Per Inaway got the cash for us fresh and has been more dour in two subsequent efforts, picking up late again over 1400m third-up. 1500m should suit off that and a three-year-old BM72 is a decent drop in class.
4. Deep Romance rattled home on a Heavy 9 over 1300m third-up at Rosehill, which followed a plain second-up attempt on a Soft 5. Wetter the better?
6. Arnaquer has been strangely placed over the journey and while hard to catch, he has as much talent as any of these.
Race 7 - 2:45PM ATC Thank You Stable Staff Handicap Tips (1300m)
2. WAIHAHA FALLS showed potential over earlier campaigns, but it's as a rising five-year-old that he's really furnished. Off a brilliant return win, he looked the good thing of the July 9 meeting and saluted in style despite a rise in grade. Has to carry an extra 4kg for that romp, but is still on an upwards spiral and thrives in the conditions.
4. Arctic Thunder
is a fresh horse and could be value ($21.00 @ bet365
) if playing exotics. She's a rather bombproof mare that's build a tidy record and is unbeaten first-up. Lead-up trial was sound, albeit she might not want it this wet.
1. Poetic Charmer couldn't match Waihaha Falls fresh, but picked up late and has a big weight swing on the fav. Pike can land closer from barrier two.
7. Niffler comes back from an 1800m attempt, although I suspect this is much closer to her preferred distance range.
Race 8 - 3:25PM ATC Foundation Winter Challenge Tips (1500m)
9. OSCAR ZULU has been ridden too cold of late and with a fitness edge over class runners and dropping to 53kg, we want to see them positive. He was unsuited in a crawl behind Jojo Was A Man in the Winter Stakes and meets him 4kg better off. He isn't easy to place with his rating, with this the most suitable race he'll find for a long time.
12. Jojo Was A Man won three of his first four starts this campaign and was unlucky not to add another in the Winter Stakes, where he covered ground and just missed on the line. They did walk there, however.
13. Durston is a lightly raced import that won his second start for Waller before a spell. 1500m is short, although he looked quite forward in his latest trial.
7. Casino Kid
was strong fresh and could have a better turn-of-foot at 1500m than the other backmarkers. He's a blowout ($31.00 @ BetRight
Race 9 - 4:05PM City Tattersalls Group Handicap Tips (1200m)
1. CONSCRIPT got the chocolates for us second-up after a slashing return and with the limited Faretti the only other speed influence, this gelding is well set-up staying at BM78, where he only goes up half a kilo courtesy of the Tyler Schiller claim. A wide gate again suits, as he can be that half a stride slow, but cross at his own leisure.
9. Jai Lel sustained a searching run when beaten a pimple by Dalaalaat and will strip fitter here for J-Mac, who neeeds to use gate one. With modest form, Conscript rates further ahead than the current market has them.
6. Faretti is a plodder, but is capable at BM78 level and he has a good fresh record. With a tactical edge over most of these, he's a top three/four hope.
11. Fastconi was plain behind Conscript, although back to 1200m is a tick and the second to Waihaha Falls reads well.
Race 10 - 4:40PM Precise Air Handicap Tips (1200m)
9. SUNRISE RUBY finds a similar contest to the one she resumed in a fortnight ago and of the first four home, she was the least suited. Settling just off midfield in a modestly run affair, she's let down with a powerful finish and at 36.04, has rattled off easily the fastest last 600m of that. There's more speed here and the extra 100m looks ideal.
returned in that BM78 and outside Sunrise Ruby, she was the run of that race, settling at the rear and against the pattern. Might want further, but can land closer and is worth saving on at the price ($17.00 @ BetRight
1. Rupertaar is yet another from that aforementioned event, a filly that covered ground, but stuck on. Won a stronger race fresh, albeit with 52kg.
4. Lady Brook won that July 9 form reference and might've had a birthday there. Draws out here and has an extra 2.5kg.