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VRC Oaks 2023 Betting Tips - Wakeful form trusted for fillies major

alex-marsh
07 Nov 2023
alex-marsh
Alex Marsh 07 Nov 2023
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  • The VRC Oaks is the premier three-year-old fillies staying race of the Melbourne Spring Carnival
  • This Group 1 is contested over 2500 metres at Flemington
  • The 2023 edition will be run on Thursday, November 9
  • Our feature preview is included below
VRC Oaks Tips
Will Zardozi go one better in Thursday's VRC Oaks? (Getty)
   

Worth $1 million, the VRC Oaks headlines the traditional Ladies Day card on Thursday, which is the third day of the Melbourne Cup Carnival.

This 2500m feature was given Group 1 status in 1979 and the current sponsorship is provided by Kennedy, so the race is currently called the Kennedy Oaks, although the fans know this race as ‘The Oaks’.

At $3 with BetRight, Zardozi heads the betting for the 2023 VRC Oaks.

2023 VRC Oaks Tips


2023 VRC Oaks Best Bet - Zardozi

Especially at the price, more questions were going into the Wakeful Stakes than the Oaks with Zardozi and while she had to settle for second in that key lead-up, she did her Oaks chances no harm.

Derby Day was a tough meeting for the off-speed brigade in the circle races and yet the daughter of Kingman was only a few strides off nailing Amazonian Lass, with that winner leading all the way.

At 35.58, Zardozi not only recorded the fastest last 600m of the Wakeful, but she was one of only two runners to break 36 seconds in that field and with a kinder draw, she settles a tad closer and wins anyway.

From barrier six in this 14-runner lineup, J-Mac has the option of landing in a more prominent stalking role and be within striking distance of the Waterhouse & Bott pair, who look the likely leaders.

Also, it's worth noting that the Godolphin filly was a month between runs last Saturday, so she'll only strip fitter and the Dalakhani line of her breeding page has produced Group winning stayers in Europe.
2023 VRC Oaks Value Bet - Aethelflaed

Selfishly, this will be the filly who I'll be supporting most in this year's VRC Oaks, given I have an each-way futures ticket at $151.00/$41.00 (if she wins, I'm a good chance of buying you a drink on Stakes Day).

From the Wakeful Stakes, there's still decent value there at an each-way quote, where Aethelflaed was the eye-catcher from the rear and that was despite laying in via her first time going anti-clockwise.

While she wasn't as quick for the last 600m as Zardozi, the Matthew Smith-trained three-year-old was the only other runner to break 36 seconds, while she did record the fastest last 200m of that race.

That fourth-place finish came following a third-up Kembla Grange breakthrough and importantly, she was able to sustain a long run there off a much slower tempo, so Aethelflaed is far from a one-trick pony.

She looks like a classical stayer and while her breeding backs that up by being a half-sister to a NZ Derby winner, there's also a lot of class in her family, with Holy Roman Emperor being among the close relatives.

2023 VRC Oaks Field & Odds

No.
Horse
Trainer
Jockey
Barrier
Weight
Odds
1Tropical SquallGai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott Adam Hyeronimus356kg$3.70
2ZardoziJames CummingsJames McDonald 656kg $3
3Amazonian LassGai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott Tim Clark1356kg $9
4Served ColdDanny O'BrienBlake Shinn 1156kg $12
5Harlow Mist (NZ)John SargentMichael Dee956kg $15
6Coco SunTony & Calvin McEvoyDamian Lane756kg $34
7Basilinna (NZ)Emma-Lee & David BrowneDamien Oliver256kg $9
8AethelflaedMatthew SmithMark Zahra1256kg $9
9Wings Of SongPatrick PayneBilly Egan1456kg $51
10Ethel MaudePat Carey & Harris WalkerRhys McLeod1056kg $21
11Peaky RidgePeter ChowDeclan Bates856kg $81
12ViesteBenjamin SmithDean Yendall556kg $201
13Another YouDan O'SullivanJamie Kah156kg $71
14Everlasting KissTrent Busuttin & Natalie YoungBen Melham456kg $71
                                                                                                                              
Odds courtesy of BetRight & correct on 07/11/2023.

Verdict

Our tips for the 2023 VRC Oaks are:

Best Bet1: Zardozi To Win @2/1 at Boylesports - 3 Units
Best Bet2: Aethelflaed Each Way @8/1 at Hollywood bets - 2 Units
Zardozi
To Win
@2/1 - 3 Units
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Aethelflaed
Each Way
@8/1 - 2 Units
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