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2021 Victoria Cup Tips - Odds, trends and our two against the field
- We've published our guide to the 2021 Victoria Cup
- This seven-furlong handicap is the big betting race at Ascot on Saturday
- We bring you the latest odds and list some key trends
- Raising Sand and Harrison Point are our two against the field
Raising Sand (right) winning at Ascot in 2018. (Getty)
A bumper afternoon of action on ITV Racing this Saturday is headlined by the Victoria Cup. This seven furlong sprint has been staged at Ascot since 1988, and punters love to sink their teeth into this large-field handicap.
We've taken a look through the latest odds and listed some key trends, before picking out our two best betting tips.
2021 Victoria Cup Odds
*Odds taken 6/5/21*
2021 Victoria Cup Trends
- 15 of the last 22 winners were weighted between 8-05 and 8-13
- 14 of the last 15 winners had won or placed in a Class Two Handicap
- 13 of the last 15 winners were aged either four or five
- 12 of the last 15 winners had at least one previous run that season
- 12 of the last 15 winners finished in the top six on their last start
- 11 of the last 15 winners had won over 7 furlongs
- 9 of the last 15 winners were drawn in stall 13 or higher
- 56% of the top four placers in last 15 years were drawn in stall 13 or higher
- 8 of the last 15 winners went off at 10/1 or longer
Although the trends don't particularly emphasise its importance, being drawn low in the Victoria Cup is a must. 75% of the top four placers in the last seven years have been drawn in stall 13 or higher.
The likely pace angle here is Jack's Point, who hung on from the front when second behind today's top-weight, Motakhayyel in the Buckingham Palace Stakes at Royal Ascot. Tom Clover's front-runner is drawn right down the middle in stall 12 and, with nothing likely to go forward on the far side, stall 12 and higher is where I'll be looking for my selections.
2021 Victoria Cup Tip 1 - Raising Sand
Raising Sand E/W2021 Victoria Cup TipsGET 12/1 HERE
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Motakhayyel's presence leaves many highly-rated contenders carrying very managable weights. One of those is nine-year-old RAISING SAND, who seems to have plenty going in his favour and Saffie Osbourne takes a further seven pounds off his back.
Jamie Osborne's stable star loves running at Ascot. Raising Sand won a Classified Stakes on his debut here in 2016. Since then, he's run in every big handicap staged between seven furlongs and a mile at least once, winning the Shergar Cup Mile in 2017, the Challenge Cup in 2018 and the International Stakes in 2019.
Raising Sand ran on well to finish fourth behind Cape Byron in the 2019 Victoria Cup. Osbourne only managed to get his star out twice last season, but that inactivity means Raising Sand returns to his favourite track just one pound higher in the handicap than when he placed in this race two years ago and when he won the International.
Osbourne's rain dance seems to have worked a treat, as the weather forecast in the Ascot area on Saturday morning is terrible. With every drop of rain that hits the track, Raising Sands' chances increase exponentially.
2021 Victoria Cup 2 - Harrison Point
Harrison Point E/W2021 Victoria Cup TipsGET 22/1 HERE
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My second bet will be on Hollie Doyle's mount, HARRISON POINT. Archie Watson's charge ran in the Britannia Stakes over a mile here at Ascot on his reappearance last season, fading out of contention in the final couple of furlongs having travelled nicely into the race.
After that, Watson kept his four-year-old over seven furlongs. Doyle rode Harrison Point to victory at Ayr in July, before beating Zip by half-a-length at Beverley a month later. Following some good runs on the all-weather, Watson took his charge over to France in December, but Harrison Point failed to hold his own in a Listed race in Deauville.
A gelding operation followed soon after, and Harrison Point finished last of 14 on his reappearance at Lingfield, where he was forced wide throughout. He ran much better on his latest start at Wolverhampton, though, staying on gamely to place third behind a course specialist.
Harrison Point returns to Ascot running off a mark of 90. Doyle's mount has run up to RPR in excess of his official rating on seven of his last nine starts, and proved in the Britannia that he could deal with the track at Ascot. Harrison Point won on soft ground at Beverley last season, and he's drawn perfectly in stall 16.
Raising Sand and Harrison Point are our two against the field in the 2021 Victoria Cup.
2021 Victoria Cup Tip 1: Raising Sand Each-Way @1600.0 at BetMGM - 8 Units
2021 Victoria Cup Tip 2: Harrison Point Each-Way @2200.0 at PlaySugarhouse Sport - 5 Units