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2021 Lockinge Stakes Tips - 10/1 shot looks the Top bet against the favourite

  • We've published our guide to the 2021 Lockinge Stakes
  • This Group One headlines the action at Newbury on Saturday 15th May
  • Palace Pier dominates the current Lockinge betting
  • We're backing Top Rank each-way at 10/1
top rank haydock
Top Rank (left) powering to victory at Doncaster. (Getty)

The biggest race staged at Newbury racecourse during the flat racing season is the Lockinge Stakes. This Group One was first staged in 1958, and it's been won by great milers like Brigadier Gerard, Soviet Line and Frankel.

12 horses have been confirmed in Saturday's renewal of the Lockinge, and it's Palace Pier who dominates the current betting.

2021 Lockinge Stakes Odds


Name
Odds
Palace Pier4/6
Lope Y Fernandez6/1
My Oberon8/1
Top Rank10/1
Safe Voyage12/1
Century Dream14/1
Bar20/1

*Odds taken from Betfair on 13/5/21*

2021 Lockinge Stakes Favourite

John Gosden's star established himself as the best miler in the business during 2020. Palace Pier swooped late to beat Pinatubo and Wichita in the St James's Palace Stakes, before comfortably seeing off Alpine Star, Circus Maximus and Persian King to win his second Group One at Deauville.

Palace Pier's final outing came on Champions Day, where he was beaten into third behind The Revenant. Although he had previously won on heavy ground out in France, Gosden was confident the ground was to blame for that defeat, and a third-place finished didn't tarnish a fantastic three-year-old campaign.

Despite his trainer claiming he was only 75% fit, Palace Pier was far too good for Bless Him and Happy Power in the bet365 Mile on his reappearance. Following that eight-length triumph, Palace Pier was pulled into odds-on favouritism for the Lockinge. 

Frankie Dettori's mount is the most likely winner of the Lockinge and he'll take all the beating on Saturday. I just don't fancy backing him at 4/6, especially when there are so many quality horses sitting on appealing each-way prices.

palace pier
Palace Pier thrashing his rivals at Sandown. (Getty)

2021 Lockinge Stakes Tips

Century Dream loves to front-run, so he'll probably make the running from stall nine. Pogo and Safe Voyage also like to be up with the pace. If they both went forward, then I could see the field being pulled towards the near rail, which could leave Lord Glitters and Lope Y Fernandez - who will likely be held up in stalls ten and eleven - with a wall of horses to pass and very little room to maneuver.

Palace Pier looks perfectly placed in stall eight and Frankie Dettori's mount should get a lovely tow into the race. As should TOP RANK drawn in five, and I'm going to place my faith in James Tate's imposing grey.

Having raced just once at two and twice at three, Top Rank was still somewhat of an unknown quantity last season. Tate's charge began the season with a dominant handicap win at Thirsk, before his unbeaten run came to an end at York, as he finished a length-third behind Montatham and Sir Busker in the Clipper Logistics Handicap.

PJ McDonald's mount got back to winning ways in the Superior Mile at Haydock, where he comfortably beat My Oberon when giving his rival five pounds at the weights. Top Rank rounded off his campaign with a tired effort in the Joel Stakes, where he became unbalanced coming through the dip and McDonald nursed his mount home in the final furlong.

On his reappearance in the Doncaster Mile, Top Rank got revenge on Montatham in superb style, pulling clear under a Group Three penalty to win that Listed race in decisive fashion. Tate will now step his stable star up into Group One company for the first time, but this powerful five-year-old has clearly improved again for another winter on his back, and looks a solid each-way bet behind Palace Pier.
US

Verdict

Palace Pier will be very hard to beat. Top Rank, however, is a horse still on the upgrade and travels to Newbury on the back of an excellent victory on his reappearance at Doncaster. At 10/1, he appeals each-way.

2021 Lockinge Stakes Tips: Top Rank Each-Way @1000.0 at BetMGM - 10 Units

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