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Happy Valley Tips on November 13th - Circuit to salute in Hong Kong

alex-marsh
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Last updated: 13 Nov 2024
alex-marsh
Alex Marsh 13 Nov 2024
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  • Happy Valley hosts a nine-race card on November 13
  • Key picks: Lucky Touch (Race 2), Champion Method (Race 4)
  • Circuit Daffy (Race 6) and Affirm (Race 7) are promising bets
Happy Valley Tips for 13.11.2024
Nine races feature on Wednesday's Happy Valley program. (Getty)
 

Happy Valley will run a nine-race program on November 13th and Wednesday night's preview is included below.

Here are our free Hong Kong racing tips for Happy Valley today.

Happy Valley Tips on November 13th


Lung Cheung Handicap Tips (Race 2)


Happy Valley Next Best Bet - Race 2 No. 4 Lucky Touch

He was competitive throughout his first prep via some handy Class 4's at Sha Tin and Zac Purton was aboard for every start last season, and the champion hoop is back on here.

Lucky Touch has completed a tick-over trial since his second-up run on October 20 and while it was only a trial, the gelding once again found trouble via that recent heat.

After being inconvenienced at that the start first-up, the four-year-old was towards the rear of the field and was over-racing fresh before being held-up at key stages in his last appearance.

Getting out to 1650m third-up should suit Lucky Touch and now that he's fitter over this longer trip, don't be surprised if Zac Purton is positive early from a middle gate.

Hung Luen Handicap Tips (Race 4)


Happy Valley Value Bet - Race 4 No. 10 Champion Method

This Danny Shum-trained galloper is two-time winner in this grade and the last triumph was a brave one, where Champion Method fought back late after settling outside of the lead.

The son of I Am Invincible carried 60kg to success in that October 2023 victory at Sha Tin and for Wednesday's Class 4 assignment at Happy Valley, he's now down to a 56kg mark.

Champion Method needed to show more third-up after two plain runs to open the season and he achieved that, with a two-length defeat on a hot tempo over this track/trip.

With two trials since that October 16 outing, he couldn't be any fitter going into this attempt and from barrier five, he should be able to settle in the first two or three pairs.

Lei Yue Mun Handicap Tips (Race 6)


Happy Valley Best Bet - Race 6 No. 7 Circuit Daffy

We need to respect the sub $3 starting price when he was on debut in a similar affair on October 30 and there's natural improvement to come now he has race experience.

Nothing went right for Circuit Daffy via that first race day showing, where the son of El Roca was forced back early from barrier six after being crowded when the gates opened.

Despite spotting them a start, he appeared to blending into that race quite well before finding traffic and given the restricted room he was working home in, there was merit to the run.

Zac Purton will be keen to atone on the Frankie Lor-trained galloper and this jockey/trainer combo has been firing this season, with five winners at an excellent strike rate of 38.5%.

Lei Yue Mun Handicap Tips (Race 7)


Happy Valley Favourite - Race 7 No. 10 Affirm

On overall times for 1200m, his last two runs over this trip read favourably vs the main market threats (Trumphant More and Glory Cloud) who are both coming out of the same race.

While he has been honest multiple times at seven furlongs, back in distance should suit Affirm, who tired late via his latest 1400m outing after working early on the speed.

After jumping wide in both his second and third-up tilts, the son of Choisir now has barrier one and being fourth-up into the campaign this evening, he should be at peak fitness.

Luke Ferraris will likely search for the early lead from an inside alley, but if there's too much pressure from the outside lanes (Fung and Robot Knight) then he can take a trail.

Hok Yuen Handicap Tips (Race 8)


Happy Valley Roughie - Race 8 No. 4 Romantic Laos

He's been an honest campaigner over the journey and after joining the Cody Mo stable ahead of last season, Romantic Laos recorded two wins in this grade (both over this track/trip).

The six-year-old was disappointing first-up this prep and while it was an improved effort last time out when finishing ninth-of-twelve, the jury was still out was on the gelding.

Although he lacked a turn-of-foot when the sprint went on via his third-up appearance, that two-length defeat when balancing up late in the piece suggested he was back on track.

Romantic Laos will need favours from gate eleven, as he'll likely be ridden cold, however, a predicted good tempo should help and his overall record in this company is okay. 
                                                               

Verdict

Our Happy Valley tips for Wednesday, November 13 are:

Best Bet1: Circuit Daffy To Win @27/10 at Betgoodwin - 4 Units
Best Bet2: Lucky Touch To Win @13/5 at QuinnBet - 3 Units
Best Bet3: Affirm To Win @4/1 at Boylesports - 2 Units
Best Bet4: Champion Method Each Way @12/1 at Hollywood bets - 1 Unit
Circuit Daffy
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Lucky Touch
To Win
@13/5 - 3 Units
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Affirm
To Win
@4/1 - 2 Units
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Champion Method
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@12/1 - 1 Unit
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