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2022 Cesarewitch Handicap Tips - Odds, Trends and Two Against The Field

Jon Vine

Editor

Last updated: 06 Oct 2022

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Jon Vine 06 Oct 2022

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Odds, trends and two tips for the 2022 Cesarewitch Handicap
This historic staying handicap will be run at Newmarket on Saturday 8th October
Ahorsewithnoname heads Run For Oscar and Scaramanga in the betting
Zoffee and Call My Bluff are our two against the field

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Oisin Murphy riding Buzz (green) win The Together For Racing International Cesarewitch Handicap at Newmarket. (Getty)

The big betting race on Saturday will be the Cesarewitch Handicap. This 18-furlong heritage handicap boasts a long, storied history, having first been staged at Newmarket back in 1839 and many popular horses have claimed victory on the Rowley Mile.

We'll be looking for our second-straight winner in this handicap, having put up Buzz 12 months ago. Today, we've cast our eye through the betting and key recurring trends for the Cesarewitch, before putting up our best two betting tips.

2022 Cesarewitch Handicap Odds

Name	Odds
Ahorsewithnoname	4/1
Run For Oscar	5/1
Gibraltar	12/1
Evaluation	12/1
Scaramanga	12/1
Bar	14/1

*Odds taken on 5/10/22*

2022 Cesarewitch Handicap Trends

14 of the last 15 winners had previously won over at least 2m (flat or hurdles)
14 of the last 15 winners had won on the ground
14 of the last 15 winners did not win last time out
13 of the last 15 winners carried 9-02 or less
13 of the last 15 winners had run within the last 50 days
12 of the last 15 winners had run at least four times that year
12 of the last 15 winners were aged between 4 and 7
11 of the last 15 winners were trained by National Hunt or dual-purpose trainers
10 of the last 15 winners were rated between 84 and 94
10 of the last 15 winners went off at 10/1 or longer
9 of the last 15 winners had won that year

Waterville and, our initial selection, had topped the ante-post betting for Saturday's main event. Sadly, a black cloud has been placed above the Cesarewitch after Adagio suffered a fatal heart-attack as he was being readied for a tilt at this prize and Aidan OBrien - who rarely has runners in this historic handicap - has decided not to send Waterville over to Newmarket.

Horses with National Hunt racing experience fare extremely well in this contest. In recent years, it's paid to follow Willie Mullins or Nicky Henderson. This year, Mullins' raiding party looks surprisingly weak and Henderson's big hope, Ahorsewithnoname doesn't seem to have many pounds in hand - like Buzz had last year.

2022 Cesarewitch Handicap Tip 1 - Zoffee

Zoffee E/W2022 Cesarewitch Handicap Tip 1 GET 16/1 HERE

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Following the tragic passing of Adagio, ZOFFEE (Tipped at 20/1) has been promoted to the number one selection spot.

Since moving to Hugo Palmer's yard in the spring, Zoffee has been campaigned solely on the flat. Palmer's recruit won off 81 at Carlise in May and followed up off 84 in the Northumberland Vase at Newcastle. Zoffee then ran a cracking race in the bet365 Trophy during the July Festival here at Newmarket racecourse, where Dettori's mount was only beaten a head by Soapy Stevens.

Zoffee was still on the bridle turning for home in the Goodwood Handicap, only to find himself a little outpaced in the closing stages. Last time out at York, Palmer's charge again travelled comfortably heading into the closing stages, but failed to find a clear path to the post from his position along the inside rail and could only stay on for third as Alfred Boucher - third in the Ebor three days later - claimed an impressive victory.

Zoffee seems much happier on the flat than he ever did over obstacles and it's clear from his performances this season that there could be more progression to come. 20/1 is too good to pass up.

2022 Cesarewitch Handicap Tip 2 - Call My Bluff

Call My Bluff E/W2022 Cesarewitch Handicap Tip 2 GET 25/1 HERE

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Despite what could prove to be a tricky draw out in stall 21, CALL MY BLUFF appeals greatly from a value stand-point.

A poor run at the Galway Festival aside, Dominic Ffrench Davis' five-year-old has enjoyed another consistent season. Call My Bluff has placed in plenty of high-profile staying handicaps, including the Shergar Cup Stayers, the Chester Plate and most recently in the Watergate Handicap up at Chester, where he was only beaten a length off a one-pound higher mark.

Hayley Turner's mount ran a bizarre race in the Cesarewitch Trial here at Newmarket last month. Call My Bluff made the running, but was passed and seemed to be fading three furlongs out, only to find a second wind and hit the line really hard back in third. Davis' five-year-old is clearly still well-treated and if he were to find his way into contention, it wouldn't be a huge surprise.

Verdict

2022 Cesarewitch Handicap

Zoffee and Call My Bluff are our two against the field in the 2022 Cesarewitch.

Zoffee

Straight Win

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