• Home
  • UK
  • Welsh Grand National

2020 Welsh Grand National Tips - Odds, key trends and two horses to back

  • We've published our preview of the 2020 Welsh Grand National
  • This historic handicap will now take place on Saturday 9th January, after the scheduled meeting after Christmas was cancelled
  • Christmas In April is our first selection at 10/1 with race sponsors Coral
  • We've also tipped Lord Du Mesnil at 14/1
christmas in april
Devon National winner, Christmas In April is one of our fancies at Chepstow. (Getty)

After Chepstow's meeting just after Christmas was canceled due to a waterlogged track, the 2020 Welsh Grand National will now take place on the second Saturday of 2021. Many future Cheltenham Gold Cup and Aintree Grand National have triumphed in this grueling handicap, and a high-quality field has been entered in this year's renewal.

Here's a look at the latest odds and some key trends, before we highlight our best bets in this year's Welsh Grand National.

2020 Welsh Grand National Odds


Name
Odds
Secret Reprieve4/1
Springfield Fox7/1
Truckers Lodge9/1
Christmas In April9/1
Yala Enki10/1
Prime Venture12/1
Ramses De Teillee12/1
The Two Amigos12/1
Vieux Lion Rouge12/1
Bar

*Odds taken from Coral on 7/01/21*

2020 Welsh Grand National Trends


  • 18 of the last 20 winners were aged between six and nine
  • 18 of the last 20 winners finished in the top four places on their last start
  • 17 of the last 20 winners had previously won on heavy ground
  • 17 of the last 20 winners had run over a distance of three-and-a-half-miles (28 furlongs) at least once before
  • 16 of the last 20 winners had run twice already that season
  • 15 of the last 20 winners carried a weight of 10-10 or less
  • 14 of the last 20 winners went off at 10/1 or shorter
  • 10 of the last 20 winners had won over fences at Chepstow

2020 Welsh Grand National Runners


Secret Reprieve2020 Welsh Grand National FavouriteGET 4/1 HERE
18+ only. Ts and Cs apply. Gamble responsibly. Coral is operated by LC International Limited and licensed and regulated by the British Gambling Commission for persons gambling in Great Britain. For persons gambling outside Great Britain, Coral is licensed by the Government of Gibraltar and regulated by the Gibraltar Gambling Commissioner.

Wales' 50-year wait for a home Grand National winner was ended by Potters Corner 12 months ago. The home faithful may not have to wait as long for a second winner, if the odds are to be believed anyway, as Evan William's Secret Reprieve has been backed into solo favouritism.

Adam Wedge's mount sneaks in here at the bottom of the weights, having won the National Trial here at Chepstow by 12 lengths. While he remains unexposed over fences, and has plenty of course form to bolster his claims, I'm worried the favourite may be a little inexperienced, and I don't think he offers much value at his current odds.

Truckers Lodge was second here last year, and followed that performance up with an emphatic win in the Midlands National. Paul Nicholls' charge returns to Chepstow 16-pounds higher in the weights, and comes into the race on the back of a single outing this term, unseating his rider three from home at Kelso.

Springfield Fox ran well on his prep-run over hurdles and has been backed in from 20s to 7/1 in recent days. Last year's fourth, Prime Venture broke his duck over fences on his reappearance and he's been well supported. As has top-weight Yala Enki, who hung on to place in this race 12 months ago. 

While all three hold appeal, I have my eye on a couple of other contenders...

2020 Welsh Grand National Tip 1


Christmas In April E/W2020 Welsh Grand National TipsGET 9/1 HERE
18+ only. Ts and Cs apply. Gamble responsibly. Coral is operated by LC International Limited and licensed and regulated by the British Gambling Commission for persons gambling in Great Britain. For persons gambling outside Great Britain, Coral is licensed by the Government of Gibraltar and regulated by the Gibraltar Gambling Commissioner.

Gold Cup winning trainer, Colin Tizzard has won two of the last three runnings of the Welsh Grand National, and CHRISMAS IN APRIL could hand his trainer an emotional third win, as this year's race is run in the memory of his late daughter, Kim.

Tizzard's eight-year-old really found his feet last season, winning the Sussex and Devon Grand Nationals, despite still holding novice status. Those efforts clearly took their toll on his final outing in the Midlands National. Christmas In April looked to be struggling again as Cloudy Glen bolted up at Fontwell last month, but Tizzard's top-weight stuck to his guns gamely late on to pip Doing Fine to second place.

Doing Fine has since come out and won the Midlands National at Sandown, reversing the form with Cloudy Glen. Chrismas In April was giving doing fine six pounds that day, and Tizzard's runner has just 10-3 to shoulder here. His form in grueling handicaps of this type, combined with his low weight, makes Christmas In April a really dangerous contender.

2020 Welsh Grand National Tip 2


Lord Du Mesnil E/W2020 Welsh Grand National TipsGET 16/1 HERE
18+ only. Ts and Cs apply. Gamble responsibly. Coral is operated by LC International Limited and licensed and regulated by the British Gambling Commission for persons gambling in Great Britain. For persons gambling outside Great Britain, Coral is licensed by the Government of Gibraltar and regulated by the Gibraltar Gambling Commissioner.

LORD DU MESNIL showed his appetite for a good, hard slog on heavy ground at Haydock last year.

Richard Hobson's seven-year-old hacked up in both the Tommy Whittle and The Last Fling Handicaps, before getting pipped to the post by bottom-weight Smooth Stepper in the National Trail in February. Sam Waley-Cohen then looked to have seen them all off in the National Hunt Chase at the Cheltenham Festival, only for Jamie Codd and Ravenhill to swoop past and win this historic Grade Two.

After a pipe-opener over hurdles, Lord Du Mesnil carried top-weight into the Grand Sefton. Paul O'Brien's mount didn't jump the National fences well, and faded rapidly after a bad mistake at The Chair. 

To see him turned out against so quickly suggests that his exploits at Aintree haven't left their mark. The extended trip here, and the heavy ground will certainly suit Lord Du Mesnil, and O'Brien's three-pound claimer leaves his carrying a pleasing weight of 11-2.
US

Verdict

Christmas In April won two regional National last season, and he looks very well treated with just 10-3 on his back.

Lord Du Mesnil is not as well off at the weights, but last year's National Hunt Chase runner-up will relish the testing conditions at Chepstow, and also looks worthy of an each-way punt.
2020 Welsh Grand National Tips 1: Christmas In April Each-Way @900.00 at BetMGM - 10 Units
2020 Welsh Grand National Tip 2: Lord Du Mesnil Each-Way @1600.0 at PlaySugarhouse Sport - 8 Units

Top Betting Sites

special-offer-1Special offers

Upcoming Events