British Champions Day 2025 Trends - Key Stats and Tips for Ascot
British Champions Day 2025 at Ascot is set to feature five Group One races. Trawlerman, the Long Distance Cup's favorite, meets all historical winning trends. In the Champions Sprint, Big Mojo stands as a strong contender with a recent Sprint Cup victory. Estrange and Wemighttakedlongway lead the rankings for the Champion Fillies' & Mares' Stakes. In the Queen Elizabeth II Stakes, Marvelman signals readiness after a Group Two win. Finally, Ombudsman and Calandagan show promise for the Champion Stakes. Key trends from past winners offer insights into each race's potential victors.
- Trends and stats for British Champions Day 2025
- We focus on the five Group Ones at Ascot on Saturday
- Trawlerman, Big Mojo and Marvelman feature in our trendsetters
The countdown is on ahead of British Champions Day 2025, which will take place at Ascot on Saturday afternoon.
Five fantastic Group One races headline Saturday's card, which also features a brand-new conditions race for juveniles and the thrilling Balmoral Handicap. Here are the key trends for all five of the Group One races on British Champions Day and the top trendsetters for each race.
Champions Day Trends
Long Distance Cup Trends
- 9 of the last 10 winners had won that season
- 9 of the last 10 winners had run between two and six times that season
- 9 of the last 10 winners were four, five or six years old
- 9 of the last 10 winners finished 1st or 2nd last time out
- 8 of the last 10 winners were rated 109 or above (One unrated)
- 8 of the last 10 winners ran inside the last 36 days
- 7 of the last 10 winners returned an SP of 6/1 or shorter
- 7 of the last 10 winners had won at Group One level
- 7 of the last 10 winners ran in a Group One or Group Two last time out
Long Distance Cup Trendsetter - Trawlerman
A fairly obvious one, given that TRAWLERMAN Is the 1/2 favourite. John and Thady Gosden's Ascot Gold Cup winner looks to have the field covered here, and William Buick's mount ticks off all nine of the recurring trends.
Champions Sprint Trends
- 10 of the last 10 winners were between three and six years old
- 10 of the last 10 winners were rated 112 or above
- 9 of the last 10 winners either ran in the Sprint Cup at Haydock or after
- 8 of the last 10 winners had won at Group Three level or above
- 8 of the last 10 winners had run between four and eight times that season
- 8 of the last 10 winners had won that season
- 8 of the last 10 winners ran in a Group One race last time out
- 7 of the last 10 winners finished 1st or 2nd last time out
- 7 of the last 10 winners were drawn in stall 10 or lower
- 6 of the last 10 winners returned an SP of 10/1 or shorter
Champions Sprint Trendsetter - Big Mojo
Obviously, we can't trick of the draw trend yet, as the stalls will be confirmed tomorrow, but BIG MOJO seems to have a strong chance. Mick Appleby's star claimed a deserved victory in the Sprint Cup on his most recent start and Tom Marquand's mount boasts winning form around Ascot from earlier in the season.
Lazzat is let down by the fact that he finished fifth in the Sprint Cup. Kind Of Blue is yet to win this season, but ticks off all of the remaining trends.
Champion Fillies' & Mares' Stakes Trends
- 10 of the last 10 winners had run at least three times that season
- 10 of the last 10 winners had won that season
- 10 of the last 10 winners were rated 108 or above
- 9 of the last 10 winners ran in a Group One last time out
- 8 of the last 10 winners were three years old
- 8 of the last 10 winners ran in the last 37 days
- 8 of the last 10 winners had run over 12 furlongs at least twice
- 7 of the last 10 winners returned an SP of 5/1 or shorter
Champion Fillies' & Mares' Stakes Trendsetter - Estrange and Wemighttakedlongway
ESTRANGE is currently the 3/1 favourite for Saturday's renewal, and looks to have plenty going in her favour. David O'Meara's filly only failed to tick off the age trend, but fulfils every other category outlined above.
Joseph O'Brien's three-year-old, WEMIGHTTAKEDLONGWAY only falls short in the price category. Dylan Browne McMonagle's mount won a Group Three earlier in the season, and has finished no worse that fourth in four starts at Group One level since.
Queen Elizabeth II Stakes Trends
- 10 of the last 10 winners had run in the last 49 days
- 10 of the last 10 winners were drawn in stall six or wider
- 9 of the last 10 winners had run at least three times that season
- 9 of the last 10 winners had won that season
- 9 of the last 10 winners finished 1st or 2nd last time out
- 8 of the last 10 winners were rated 115 or above
- 8 of the last 10 winners returned an SP of 5/1 or shorter
- 7 of the last 10 winners had previously won at Group One or Group Two level
- 7 of the last 10 winners were three years old
Queen Elizabeth II Stakes Trendsetter - Marvelman
Three multiple Group One winners top this betting heat. However, Field Of Gold (No recent run and fourth last time out), Rosallion (Four-year-old and winless this season), and Fallen Angel (Four-year-old and longer than 5/1) fail to tick off two of the recurring trends.
MARVELMAN is only let down by his current double-figure price. Andrew Balding's three-year-old earned a rating of 115 following an emphatic Group Two success at Doncaster, and seems ready for the step up in trip. You can see why connections have opted to supplement for the QEII.
Champion Stakes Trends
- 9 of the last 10 winners had previously won at Group One or Group Two level
- 9 of the last 10 winners had won that season
- 9 of the last 10 winners had run at least three times that season
- 9 of the last 10 winners had previously won over 10 furlongs or further
- 8 of the last 10 winners returned an SP of 10/1 or shorter
- 7 of the last 10 winners were rated 120 or above
- 6 of the last 10 winners were four years old or older
- 5 of the last 10 winners finished 1st or 2nd last time out
Champion Stakes Trendsetter - Ombudsman and Calandagan
Anmaat was very much a trend-buster in this contest 12 months ago. He did, however, continue the excellent run that older horses have had in the Champion Stakes.
OMBUDSMAN and CALANDAGAN, as four-year-olds, might have an edge over Delacroix. Both bring course-winning form to the table, having won the Prince Of Wales's Stakes and King George respectively, and both come into Champions Day on the back of impressive victories.
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