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2026 Dewhurst Stakes Tips - Desert Castle and Darkness Falls showdown to light up Newmarket

jon-vine
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Last updated: Thu 08 Oct 2026 15:54
Day two of the Future Champions Festival at Newmarket features the prestigious Dewhurst Stakes. Desert Castle, trained by Charlie Appleby and unbeaten so far, is the favorite against strong rival Darkness Falls, trained by Aidan O'Brien. The article tips Desert Castle for the win, citing his proven speed over seven furlongs and suitability for the mile, while Darkness Falls might be better suited to longer distances. The likely head-to-head could preview the 2000 Guineas and Epsom Derby next season.
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Jon Vine 1 hour ago
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  • Odds and betting predictions for the 2026 Dewhurst Stakes
  • This Group One takes place at Newmarket on Saturday 10th October
  • Desert Castle is our selection over Darkness Falls
newmarket buick
Newmarket racecourse. (Getty)

Day two of the Future Champions Festival at Newmarket is headlined by the Dewhurst Stakes. This historic seven-furlong contest has been won by a whole host of future Classic winners, including Ormonde, Nijinsky, Mill Reef and Frankel.

Here's our free guide to the 2026 Dewhurst Stakes, including our best betting tips.

2026 Dewhurst Stakes Odds


Name
Odds
Desert Castle10/11
Darkness Falls15/8
Great Barrier Reef7/1
Jassas33/1
Gentle Hurricane40/1

2026 Dewhurst Stakes Runners


Desert Castle is a short price to hand Charlie Appleby his fourth victory in the Dewhurst. William Buick's mount maintained his unbeaten record with a dominant performance in the Champagne Stakes, after which Desert Castle was cut into as short as 4/1 to win next year's 2000 Guineas.

William Buick's mount does now have competition for favouritism on Saturday, after Darkness Falls was confirmed in the field. Ryan Moore's mount bolted up in the Golden Fleece during Irish Champions Weekend, and drops below a mile for the first time this weekend.

Aidan O'Brien will also run Great Barrier Reef, who has only been seen once since his victory in the Coventry Stakes. Charlie Appleby's second-string is Haydock novice winner Jassas. The fifth and final runner is Gentle Hurricane for two-time Dewhurst winner Andrew Balding.

2026 Dewhurst Stakes Tips


Without wishing to disrespect the other three runners in the field, this revolves around the top two in the market. I thought Darkness Falls was hugely impressive in the Golden Fleece, and I quickly snapped up the 10/1 that was available for next year's Derby.

I was surprised when Aidan O'Brien confirmed him in the field earlier in the week. O'Brien is clearly going to throw everything at the next few meetings in the hope of leapfrogging Andrew Balding in the race to be Champion Trainer. Darkness Falls is certainly classy enough to cope with this drop in trip, but I don't think it's ideally what he wants. I see him very much as a middle-distance horse next season.

DESERT CASTLE, on the other hand, looks a miler through and through. Charlie Appleby's star made it two from two in the Champagne Stakes at Doncaster, where he was the slowest out of the stalls and still managed to win by three easy lengths.

Sergei Diaghilev didn't set the world alight with the early fractions, but I still thought Desert Castle showed an impressive turn of foot, and the favourite barely broke a sweat in the end. Billy Loughnane said after the race that there was loads left in the tank, and that certainly looked to be the case as his mount sauntered across the line.

Appleby has been striking at between 30% and 50% over the past four or five weeks. This is the time of year when his juveniles tend to peak, and I'm expecting a career-best effort from Desert Castle on Saturday. He'll need it to beat an extremely classy rival in Darkness Falls, but the trip will be much more to his liking. I think there's a good chance that we'll see next year's 2000 Guineas and Epsom Derby winners race against each other in Saturday's Dewhurst.

Live Stream


Visit our Dewhurst Stakes Live Stream page if you want to watch any of Saturday's races via a mobile or tablet.

Verdict

Desert Castle is our selection in the 2026 Dewhurst Stakes.

Best Bet1: Desert Castle 2026 Dewhurst Stakes Tips @10/11 at Betgoodwin - 5 Units
Desert Castle
2026 Dewhurst Stakes Tips
@10/11 - 5 Units
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