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2024 Morgiana Hurdle Tips - State Man to face Lossiemouth and Brighterdaysahead at Punchestown

jon-vine
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Last updated: Thu 21 Nov 2024 16:26
The 2024 Morgiana Hurdle at Punchestown promises an exciting race with State Man aiming for a third consecutive win. Despite tight competition from stablemates like Lossiemouth and formidable rivals like Brighterdaysahead, State Man appears to be the frontrunner. Although not the favorite from a betting perspective, recent odds shifts offer some value at 5/6 for State Man. This event also serves as a display of Ireland's top hurdlers, with implications for future races. Intrigue surrounds the performances of other horses like Daddy Long Legs and Sir Gerhard.
jon-vine
Jon Vine 21 Nov 2024
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  • Odds and betting predictions for the 2024 Morgiana Hurdle
  • This Grade One takes place at Punchestown on Saturday 23rd November
  • State Man takes on top mares Lossiemouth and Brighterdaysahead for the first time
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state man punchestown
Paul Townend riding State Man (yellow) clear the last to win The Paddy Power Champion Hurdle at Punchestown. (Getty)

The first Grade One race for hurdlers in Ireland takes place at Punchestown on Saturday, as a select field enters the Morgiana Hurdle. State Man has won the last two renewals of this famous race and will bid to emulate the great Hurricane Fly, who claimed a hat-trick of Morgiana wins between 2012 and '14.

Here's our free guide to the 2024 Morgiana Hurdle, including our best betting tips.

2024 Morgiana Hurdle Odds


Name
Odds
State Man4/5
Lossiemouth11/4
Brighterdaysahead5/1
Daddy Long Legs25/1
Bar40/1

2024 Morgiana Hurdle Entries


While it may not be much of a betting heat, Saturday's Morgiana Hurdle should provide plenty of answers and entertainment.

State Man will be looking to complete a hat-trick of victories in this Grade One, and preserve his perfect five-from-five record around Punchestown. Willie Mullins also runs Mares' Hurdle winner Lossiemouth, who has been pointed at the Champion Hurdle this term, and has also scored on both of her previous starts at this venue.

To add further intrigue to this fascinating battle, Gordon Elliott runs the race-fit Brighterdaysahead. Elliott's mare currently heads the betting for the Mares' Hurdle, but Gordon said after her reappearance win at Down Royal that the Champion Hurdle may not be out of the equation, and he's decided to test Brighterdaysahead against the best two-miler around on Saturday.

Willie Mullins also runs Daddy Long Legs, Winter Fog and Sir Gerhard, who all have plenty to find. Smooth Tom was a 33/1 outsider against Brighterdaysahead at Down Royal, where he unseated Cian Quirke at the third flight. No Looking Back is yet to record an RPR in the 140s, and a mark of 160 may be required to even finish third in Saturday's feature.

2024 Morgiana Hurdle Tips


I'm not in the least bit surprised to see Paul Townend riding STATE MAN (2/5). Willie Mullins' seven-year-old is the horse to beat in the two-mile division, having suffered just one defeat - at the hands of a prime Constitution Hill - in 11 starts at Grade One level.

Lossiemouth's reappearance win at Cheltenham last January proved that she had more than enough two-mile speed to be effective over the minimum distance. I do, however, think that the nature of the track at Punchestown suits State Man better. Lossiemouth's best chance of beating her stablemate over this distance will be around a more testing track like Cheltenham.

I'm not convinced at all that Brighterdaysahead is a two-miler. She looks like a staying chaser in the making to me, and I doubt whether her jumping will be slick enough to hang with the top two in the betting over this distance. Away from the leading trio of contenders, I can't see anyone else getting involved.

At 2/5, State Man wasn't appealing from a betting standpoint. However, since the field was confirmed, the two-time defending champion has drifted out to 4/5, with Lossiemouth coming in from 7/2 to 11/4. I know who I'd rather back at those prices, and it's not Patrick Mullins' mount!

Live Stream


If you plan on watching any of Saturday's races live from Punchestown, then visit our Morgiana Hurdle Live Stream page.

Verdict

State Man remains the most likely winner of the 2024 Morgiana Hurdle and actually represents some value at 5/6.

Best Bet1: State Man 2024 Morgiana Hurdle @4/5 at bet365 - 20 Units
State Man
2024 Morgiana Hurdle
@4/5 - 20 Units
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2024 Morgiana Hurdle

23 Nov 2024