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2021 Supreme Novices' Hurdle Tips – Irish rival could upstage the favourite

  • We’ve published our guide to the 2021 Supreme Novices' Hurdle
  • The Supreme is the opening race of the 2021 Cheltenham Festival
  • Appreciate It is currently the 7/4 favourite
  • We take him on with Ballyadam and Any News at each-way prices
supreme novices hurdle
The runners arrange themselves at the start of the Supreme Novices' Hurdle. (Getty)

The 2021 Cheltenham Festival kicks off in stunning fashion, as many of the best novice hurdlers in the sport do battle in the Supreme Novices' Hurdle. The Supreme is renowned for producing future superstars, with greats like Flyingbolt, Golden Cygnet, Vautour and Altior standing out on the roll of
honour.

Appreciate It currently tops the market, ahead of two fellow Grade One winners. He may be a short price, but it Appreciate It Ireland's banker on day one?

2021 Supreme Novices' Hurdle Guide


2021 Supreme Novices' Hurdle Odds


Name
Odds
Appreciate It7/4
Metier7/1
Ballyadam8/1
Soaring Glory12/1
Bob Olinger16/1
Blue Lord20/1
Dreal Deal20/1
Thedevilscoachman20/1
Bar25/1

*Odds taken from bet365 on 23/2/21*

2021 Supreme Novices’ Hurdle Tips – Vulnerable Favourite


Appreciate It2021 Supreme Novices' Hurdle FavouriteGET 7/4 HERE
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Appreciate It has been cut into a very short price for the Supreme, having won two Grade Ones around Leopardstown this season. During his bumper campaign, which included a runner-up finish in the Champion Bumper, Willie Mullins star looked a stayer to me. I backed him at the start of the season for the Ballymore, but after his conqueror in the Champion Bumper, Ferny Hollow got injured, Mullins has kept Appreciate It over two miles.

Of the four hurdles races staged over two miles at the Dublin Racing Festival, Appreciate It's Chanelle Pharma was the slowest. We saw what a speedier sort in Ferny Hollow did to Appreciate It on the run to the line in last year's Bumper. He could be the most talented horse in the race, but Appreciate It is far from bomb-proof over the minimum distance.

2021 Supreme Novices’ Hurdle Tips – Main Rival


Ballyadam E/W2021 Supreme Novices' Hurdle Tip 1GET 8/1 HERE
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Following their run at Leopardstown in February, I backed BALLYADAM at a tasty price of 10/1. 
Gordon Elliott's Royal Bond winner was beaten 16-lengths behind Appreciate It over Christmas, but returned a dirty scope in the aftermath.

As the field turned for home in the Chanelle Pharma, Ballyadam loomed up for a crack at Appreciate It, and was travelling just as well as the favourite. Kennedy might have fancied his chances, until a poor jump at the last allowed Appreciate It to get away, and Ballyadam simply couldn't bridge the gap.

Having been sick over Christmas, I doubt Ballyadam will have been fully wound-up for his last outing at Leopardstown. I'm confident he will turn the tables on Appreciate It when they meet again in the Supreme.

*UPDATE*

Ballyadam has since been moved from Gordon Elliott's yard to Henry De Bromhead. De Bromhead has said he remains on course for the Supreme and Jack Kennedy, who's ridden him on all four of his starts over hurdles, has been pencilled in to ride. Despite the move, which isn't ideal, I remain very sweet on Ballyadam's chances.

2021 Supreme Novices’ Hurdle Tips – The British Challenge


Metier2021 Supreme Novices' Hurdle ContenderGET 7/1 HERE
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Metier currently sits closest to Appreciate It in the betting, and certainly looks to be Britain's leading contender on day one of the Cheltenham Festival. Harry Fry's charge made all to win his first two starts over jumps. Under a more patient ride, Metier then showed an excellent turn-of-foot on heavy ground to win the Tolworth by 12 lengths.

You can, however, poke holes in Metier's form. Tile Tapper has twice placed behind Sean Bowen's mount, and he's rated just 130. Shakem Up'Arry didn't do much to boost the form of the Tolworth in the Betfair Hurdle either, where he was beaten 12 lengths off a mark of 136. At 7/1 I don't think Metier offers a massive amount of value.

Soaring Glory ran out a comfortable winner of the Betfair Hurdle, scoring by three lengths with just 10-7 on his back. Jonjo O’Neill is fully entitled to have a crack at the Supreme on the back of that display. I think there’s more progression to come from this likable sort, but he seems more of a handicapper, and the County Hurdle could be more suitable.

2021 Supreme Novices’ Hurdle Tips – Irish Raiders

Blue Lord looks a talent, and he could join Appreciate It in the Supreme. Having finished a little weak behind Bob Olinger at Naas – where he pulled hard for the first half of the race – I thought Blue Lord ran really well behind Appreciate It and Ballyadam in the Chanelle Pharma. It wouldn’t be a shock if he challenged for the win.

Keskonrisk and Irascible are certainly worth mentions too, but both have ten lengths to find on Appreciate It, and I'm not sure where that improvement's going to come from.

US

Verdict

I'm out to get Appreciate It, and I fancy Ballyadam will be primed to gain revenge on his Leopardstown conqueror at Cheltenham.



2021 Supreme Novices' Hurdle Tip 1: Ballyadam Each-Way @800.00 at BetMGM - 15 Units

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