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2021 Kim Muir Challenge Cup Tips – Two each-way chances to side with

Jon Vine

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Last updated: Thu 11 Mar 2021 08:54

Jon Vine 11 Mar 2021

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We’ve published our guide to the 2021 Kim Muir Challenge Cup
This handicap chase is the final race on day three of the Cheltenham Festival
Run Wild Fred and Time To Get Up top the market
Hold The Note is our first selection at 12/1 with bet365
We're also backing Storm Control at 33/1

Expired

Richard Patrick riding Storm Control clear to win at Cheltenham in November. (Getty)

The final race on St Patrick’s Day at the Cheltenham Festival is the Kim Muir Challenge Cup. This three-and-a-quarter mile handicap chase is open to horses rated 145 or below. Usually, only amateur and conditional jockeys are allowed to ride, but with amateur sport banned in the UK until April, professional jockeys can participate for the first time.

2021 Kim Muir Challenge Cup Odds

Name	Odds
Run Wild Fred	9/2
Time To Get Up	6/1
Jerrysback	12/1
Hold The Note	12/1
Deise Aba	14/1
Bar	16/1

*Odds taken from bet365 on 9/3/21*

2021 Kim Muir Challenge Cup Trends

I’ve taken a look through the last decade of results from the Kim Muir and picked out three recurring trends.

All of the last 12 winners carried 11st 4 or more
All of the last 10 winners had run at least five times over fences
All of the last 10 winners had run in at least two Graded races during their careers

Run Wild Fred will bid to follow in the footsteps of Milan Native, who was also a maiden over fences when he won this race 12 months ago. Time To Get Up is also fancied for Jonjo O’Neill and JP McManus, but we’re taking the market leaders on with two each-way alternatives.

2021 Kim Muir Challenge Cup Tip 1 – Hold The Note

Hold The Note E/W2021 Kim Muir Challenge Cup Tip 1GET 12/1 HERE

New customers only. 18+ T&Cs and wagering requirements apply.

HOLD THE NOTE was my each-way selection in the Northern Trust Handicap last season, and ran well to finish third, considering he was giving weight to two classy sorts in Imperial Aura and Galvin.

Mick Channon’s charge has failed to win so far this term, losing out to the likes of Shan Blue, Next Destination and my fancy for the Ultima, Happygolucky. After dropping down to a mark of 138 in the handicap, Channon’s charge produced a season’s best display at Newbury last time out, going down narrowly to a progressive novice in Enrilo.

Hold The Note remains a maiden after nine starts over fences, so his will to win has to be questioned. However, he’s held his own at a high level on a number of occasions and we know he’ll deal with the track. He’ll love bouncy spring ground and I’m confident he will see out this trip. Channon’s charge sits six pounds lower than his career-high mark over fences, and offers plenty of each-way appeal at 12/1.

two for gold warwick — Hold The Note (left) finished second to Two For Gold (right) in a Grade Two at Warwick last season. (Getty)

2021 Kim Muir Challenge Cup Tip 2 – Storm Control

Storm Control E/W2021 Kim Muir Challenge Cup Tip 2GET 33/1 HERE

New customers only. 18+ T&Cs and wagering requirements apply.

I don’t understand why STORM CONTROL is a 33/1 outsider to win the Kim Muir. Kerry Lee’s eight-year-old has won twice here at Cheltenham this season, making all to win in November, before surviving a late scare to land the Grade Three Handicap Chase run over the Kim Muir trip the following month.

Last time out, Storm Control attempted to lay-up with Captain Chaos in the Classic Chase at Warwick, but faded rapidly in the final half-mile and was eventually pulled up. Lee’s eight-year-old clearly didn’t enjoy the softer ground at Warwick last day, and the sharp nature of that track didn’t suit either.

Stablemate, Demachine is also entered here and sits at a much shorter price, while Storm Control is shorter in the betting for the Ultima. Demachine has never run around Cheltenham before and his best performances this season have come around Ascot. Storm Control, on the other hand, is proven over both track and trip, and a rating of 142 puts him perfectly in the picture for this handicap.

Lee would be foolish not to throw Storm Control into the final race on day three of the Cheltenham Festival, and he’d have a massive chance if he was to turn up.

Verdict

2021 Kim Muir Challenge Cup

Hold The Note placed on his Cheltenham Festival debut last year, and has dropped to an appealing mark in the handicap.

Storm Control, who's won twice at Cheltenham this season, looks overpriced at 33/1, so he'll be our second selection.

Hold The Note

Each-Way

@12/1 - 8 Units

Bet £10 Get £30

with bonus code NEWBONUS

Available to new customers only. Make a qualifying deposit of £5 or more and claim the offer within 30 days of registering your account to qualify for 300% of that amount in Bet Credits, up to a maximum of £30 in Bet Credits. Once released, your Bet Credits will be held in your account balance and are non-withdrawable. Min deposit requirement. Free Bets are paid as Bet Credits and are available for use upon settlement of qualifying bets. Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. Registration required. Time limits and T&Cs apply. The bonus code NEWBONUS can be used during registration but does not change the offer amount in any way. #ad

Bet at bet365

Storm Control

Each-Way

@33/1 - 5 Units

Bet £10 Get £30

with bonus code NEWBONUS

Bet at bet365