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Longchamp tips on October 1st - Six Group Ones covered on Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe day

jon-vine
Jon Vine
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Last updated: Sat 30 Sep 2023 11:41
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Jon Vine 30 Sep 2023
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  • Tips for the six Group One races at Longchamp on Sunday
  • The 2023 Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe headlines a stacked card
  • Freville, Blue Rose Cen and Kelina feature in our selections
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longchamp races october
Longchamp races. (Getty)
    Contents
  • Longchamp Tips - Sunday 1st October
  • Race 1 - Prix Jean-Luc Lagardere Tips
  • Race 2 - Prix Marcel Boussac Tips
  • Race 3 - Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe Tips
  • Race 4 - Prix de l'Opera Tips
  • Race 5 - Prix de l'Abbaye Tips
  • Race 6 - Prix de la Foret Tips

Longchamp stages one of the best flat racing cards of the season on Sunday afternoon. Six Group One races will be run at the Paris venue, including the 2023 renewal of the Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe.

Here are our best bets on Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe day at Longchamp.

Longchamp Tips - Sunday 1st October


Race 1 - Prix Jean-Luc Lagardere Tips


Beauvatier extended his unbeaten record with a fourth-straight victory in the Prix la Rochette last time out and Maxime Guyon's mount deservedly heads the betting. EVADE (14/1) was only beaten a length in that Group Three and, considering the horrendous start he made that day, the disparity between the two in the betting here seems far too wide.

Mickael Barzalona's mount practically walked out of the stalls and ran keen for the first half of the race. Evade was already being niggled along with four furlongs to travel, but responded to pressure well to follow Beauvatier home. Andre Fabre's juvenile is bred to reach a good level and he wouldn't have to improve much to get involved in the finish.

Race 2 - Prix Marcel Boussac Tips


We've seen plenty of upsets in this Group One down the years so, like the previous race, I'm going to take the market leaders on with one of the more overlooked contenders. 

The last three winners of this contest had at least five previous starts under their belts and one who could use the experience to their advantage this year is FREVILLE (16/1). Aurelien Lemaitre's mount has already won twice over a mile, claiming a hard-fought Group Three triumph over this course and distance 24 days ago. Christopher Head teamed up with Lemaitre to win this race with Blue Rose Cen 12 months ago and Freville has the ability to go close.

Race 3 - Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe Tips


Read our full guide to the 2023 Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe to find out who we've backed in Europe's most prestigious flat race.

If you plan on watching this historic race via a mobile or tablet, then check out our Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe Live Stream page.

Race 4 - Prix de l'Opera Tips


BLUE ROSE CEN (9/4) established herself as the best three-year-old in France during the first half of the season, winning the French 1000 Guineas before following up in the Prix de Diane. 

Aurelien Lemaitre's lack of experience around Goodwood proved costly in the Nassau Stakes, where Blue Rose Cen was caught in a pocket and couldn't get out in time. Christopher Head's filly then didn't see out 12 furlongs behind Warm Heart in the Prix Vermeille and wasn't given a hard time in the closing stages.

Head's filly won the Pouliches and the Diane from stall one and Blue Rose Cen has landed the plum inside draw once again. Back over ten furlongs, I fancy she'll be very hard to beat.

Race 5 - Prix de l'Abbaye Tips


A massive field of 19 top sprinters has been confirmed, turning this five-furlong sprint into somewhat of a lottery. Low draws have been particularly beneficial and there are two well-drawn British contenders that I fancy backing each way.

Having found himself a little outpaced in the City Walls and the King George, KERDOS (16/1) came of age with a commanding performance in the Beverley Bullet on his most recent start. Clive Cox's three-year-old received a career-high RPR of 115 for that excellent victory and Kerdos is a dangerous young sprinter to be feared.

EQUALITY (16/1) has shown some very good form in high-level sprints this season, bolting up a handicap before an easy Group Three win at Sandown. Having stayed on well to place sixth in the Nunthorpe, Charlie Hill's five-year-old stuck to his guns well to finish third in the Flying Five last time out. He can complete a consistent season with another strong effort on Sunday.

Race 6 - Prix de la Foret Tips


Frankie Dettori has a fantastic opportunity to end his final Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe meeting with a winner, as Kinross seemingly has everything going in his favour. Given the favourite's exceptionally short price, I'll have an each-way punt on KELINA (25/1), who has been butting heads with the best three-year-old fillies in France all season.

Carlos Laffon-Parias' filly placed fourth in the French 1000 Guineas before bolting up in the Prix de Sandringham. On her most recent start in the Prix du Moulin, Kelina was stuck behind traffic for the majority of the contest and was still full of running as she crossed the line. 

This will be the first time that Maxime Guyon's mount has dropped down to seven furlongs, but Kelina certainly has a good enough finishing kick to be effective over this distance and her Group One form shouldn't be underestimated.

Verdict

Sunday's best bets on Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe day:

Best Bet1: Blue Rose Cen Prix de l'Opera Tips @9/4 at Betgoodwin - 15 Units
Best Bet2: Evade E/W Prix Jean-Luc Lagardere Tips @14/1 at bet365 - 10 Units
Best Bet3: Freville E/W Prix Marcel Boussac Tips @16/1 at bet365 - 10 Units
Best Bet4: Kelina E/W Prix de la Foret Tips @25/1 at Hollywood bets - 5 Units
Blue Rose Cen
Prix de l'Opera Tips
@9/4 - 15 Units
Bet £10 Get £10
with promo code NEWBONUS

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Bet at Betgoodwin
Evade E/W
Prix Jean-Luc Lagardere Tips
@14/1 - 10 Units
Bet £10 Get £30
with bonus code NEWBONUS

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Bet at bet365
Freville E/W
Prix Marcel Boussac Tips
@16/1 - 10 Units
Bet £10 Get £30
with bonus code NEWBONUS

Available to new customers only. Make a qualifying deposit of £5 or more and claim the offer within 30 days of registering your account to qualify for 300% of that amount in Bet Credits, up to a maximum of £30 in Bet Credits. Once released, your Bet Credits will be held in your account balance and are non-withdrawable. Min deposit requirement. Free Bets are paid as Bet Credits and are available for use upon settlement of qualifying bets. Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. Registration required. Time limits and T&Cs apply. The bonus code NEWBONUS can be used during registration but does not change the offer amount in any way. #ad

Bet at bet365
Kelina E/W
Prix de la Foret Tips
@25/1 - 5 Units
£30 Free Bet
Use promo code NEWBONUS

Claim £30 free bet & 20 Free Spins. Use the promo code NEWBONUS. New Hollywoodbets account holders. 18 years or older. United Kingdom residents only. T&Cs apply.

Bet at Hollywood bets

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Longchamp Tips October 1st 2023

01 Oct 2023

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