2026 Northumberland Plate Tips - Odds, trends and a 12/1 ante-post selection
The 2026 Northumberland Plate, Britain's richest all-weather handicap, runs at Newcastle with 20 top stayers set to compete. Key historic trends favor horses who have recent form, are rated 93 or above, and fall within the 4-6 age group. With this in mind, Ride The Thunder (12/1) is tipped as an excellent ante-post bet given his strong performances behind rival Valiancy and a favorable shift in weights. As always, punters should consider horses lower in the weights, with another tip to follow after the draw.
- Odds, trends and tips for the 2026 Northumberland Plate
- This historic handicap will be run at Newcastle on Saturday 27th June
- Ride The Thunder is our ante-post selection at 12/1
The most valuable race staged on an artificial track in Britain will take place at Newcastle on Saturday, as 20 top stayers battle it out in the Northumberland Plate. This historic two-mile handicap was first staged in 1833, and was switched from turf to tapeta when Newcastle opened their all-weather track in 2016.
Here's our free guide to the 2026 Northumberland Plate, including the latest odds, key recurring trends and our best betting tips.
2026 Northumberland Plate Odds
| Name | Odds |
|---|---|
| Circus Of Rome | 5/1 |
| Valiancy | 11/2 |
| Beylerbeyi | 8/1 |
| Ride The Thunder | 12/1 |
| Sing Us A Song | 12/1 |
| Dancing In Paris | 14/1 |
| Team Player | 14/1 |
| Shrimp Shady | 14/1 |
| Bar | 16/1 |
2026 Northumberland Plate Trends
- 18 of the last 19 winners had run at least once that season
- 18 of the last 19 winners either won or placed last time out
- 15 of the last 19 winners had either won around Newcastle or were having their first start at the track
- 15 of the last 19 winners had won at Class 2 level or above
- 15 of the last 19 winners were rated 93 or above
- 14 of the last 19 winners were either four, five or six-years-old
- 14 of the last 19 winners returned an SP of 14/1 or less
- 14 of the last 19 winners had won over 2m or further (3 of the other 5 were having their first start over 2m)
From the last 14 runnings of the Northumberland Plate, nine winners were rated 100 or higher. It's usually a very high-quality handicap. However, this year's top-weight, Prydwen, is rated only 103, and the bulk of Saturday's runners are set to race from marks between 90 and 93.
The last two editions of this historic handicap have been similar in their make-up, and the top four finishers on both occasions carried less than 9-00. Siding with one towards the lower end of the weights seems like a sensible approach.
2026 Northumberland Plate Ante-Post Tip
RIDE THE THUNDER (12/1) looks the type of unexposed stayer who could really take to this searching test. Roger Varian's four-year-old has been beaten by Valiancy on his two most recent starts, finishing second and third behind that rival on either side of a winter break.
Ray Dawson's mount claimed a narrow victory in a ten-furlong maiden at Nottingham last June, before fourth-place finishes in handicaps at Ascot and Goodwood. Ride The Thunder kept on strongly when tackling 14 furlongs for the first time at Haydock in September, but he found Valiancy a little too classy on the day.
Valiancy again proved too strong when the pair reappeared at Hamilton. Varian spoke to the press after that two-length defeat and suggested that Ride The Thunder would improve significantly for the outing.
Ride The Thunder was conceding Valiancy 1lb at Haydock and receiving 2lb from his rival at Hamilton. The gap between the pair in the weights has now widened to 8lb for Saturday's rematch, and there is little in his profile to suggest he won't transfer his turf form to Newcastle's Tapeta surface.
Verdict
Ride The Thunder is our ante-post selection for the 2026 Northumberland Plate. Another tip will follow once the draw has been made.
Ride The Thunder
2026 Northumberland Plate Ante-Post Tip
@12/1 - 5 Units
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