2021 Paddy Power Plate Tips – Two arrows to fire at St Patrick's day prize
- We’ve published our guide to the 2021 Paddy Power Plate
- This handicap chase is the fifth race on day three of the Cheltenham Festival
- A Wave Of The Sea is our first bet at 14/1
- We're also backing Oldgrangewood at 20/1
Following on from the Stayers’ Hurdle on day three of the Cheltenham Festival is the Paddy Power Plate. Known for most of its life as the Brown Advisory Plate, this handicap is always a keenly contested affair, and has been won by future Grade One winners like Road To Respect and The Storyteller in recent seasons.
Irish trainers haven’t got the greatest record in the Plate, winning it just three times this century, but it’s Irish raiders who currently dominate the betting for this year’s renewal.
2021 Paddy Power Plate Odds
| Name | Odds |
|---|---|
| Farclas | 8/1 |
| The Shunter | 8/1 |
| Caribean Boy | 10/1 |
| Chatham Street Lad | 10/1 |
| Conflated | 10/1 |
| Fils D'Oudairies | 10/1 |
| Samcro | 10/1 |
| Umbrigado | 10/1 |
| Bar | 12/1 |
*Odds taken from Paddy Power on 6/3/21*
2021 Paddy Power Plate Trends
I’ve looked through the recent history of this great handicap and spotted three key recurring trends.
- All of the last ten winners had won between 19f and 21f
- 8 of the last ten winners carried between 10-8 and 11-4
- 8 of the last ten winners had won that season
It’s very hard to work out who might carry top-weight into the Plate. I can’t see Battleoverdoyen or Samcro running in a handicap, and I’d be surprised if either Cepage or Aso turned up here. Janika has run just once over hurdles this term, Chatham Street Lad looks set to enter the Marsh, and Magic Saint and Ibleo look more likely to enter the Grand Annual.
Fanion D’Estruval is also entered in that two-miler, but Venetia Williams has Ibleo to run there, so she could send her six-year-old here, if she doesn’t fancy another tilt at a Grade One. If Fanion D’Estruval doesn’t run here, then Caribean Boy will be lumbered with top-weight, and all of the current weights would shoot up considerably.
2021 Paddy Power Plate Tip 1 – A Wave Of The Sea
A Wave Of The Sea E/W2021 Paddy Power Plate Tip 1GET 14/1 HERE
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Only one five-year-old has ever won the Paddy Power Plate, but if A WAVE OF THE SEA did turn up here, I think he’d be in with a great shout.
Joseph O’Brien’s youngster may be the youngest runner in the field, but he’s gathered plenty of experience over the last two years, running 20 times under rules. A Wave Of The Sea powered home from the rear to win the Spring Juvenile Hurdle at Leopardstown last season, and came home well from off the pace to finish six lengths behind Burning Victory on his Cheltenham debut in the Triumph Hurdle.
Mark Walsh guided A Wave Of The Sea to an impressive victory over two-and-a-half miles on his second start over fences. Having come up short in a couple of Graded races, O’Brien’s charge made the most of a lowly handicap mark to score in a two-mile handicap at the Dublin Racing Festival.
A Wave Of The Sea clearly takes his racing very well, and it’s been vital for O’Brien to get as much racing into his five-year-old as possible. He looks well-treated, having been given a rating just one-pound higher than his mark in Ireland, and I’m confident this trip will see him to best effect.
2021 Paddy Power Plate Tip 2 – Oldgrangewood
Oldgrangewood E/W2021 Paddy Power Plate Tip 1GET 20/1 HERE
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In contrast to my first selection, I fancy having a punt on 10-year-old OLDGRANGEWOOD, who finished a strong third in this race last year off a mark one-pound higher than what he’d carry into this year’s renewal.
Dan Skelton’s chaser loves to be held up and fly home from off the pace. On his reappearance, Oldgrangewood made menacing progress in the Old Roan, but fluffed his lines at the final two flights and had to settle for fourth. At Newbury in December, it was a few early errors that proved costly, as Harry Skelton’s mount came up three-lengths short of Clondaw Castle – who’s won a much bigger prize since.
Skelton was just starting to wind his mount up at Warwick last time out, but a blunder at the third-last saw Harry ejected from the saddle. After that flop, Oldgrangewood slid right down the betting for the Paddy Power Plate, but he’s more than capable of contending off his current mark and we know he deals with the track at the Cheltenham Festival.
Verdict
A Wave Of The Sea comes into Cheltenham on the back of a strong handicap win at Leopardstown, and looks very well-treated at the weights.
Oldgrangewood finished third in this race last year, and performances this season suggest he can still mount a telling challenge.
Oldgrangewood finished third in this race last year, and performances this season suggest he can still mount a telling challenge.
A Wave Of The Sea
Each-Way
@14/1 - 8 Units
£30 Free Bet
Use promo code NEWBONUS
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Oldgrangewood
Each-Way
@20/1 - 5 Units
£25 Free Bet Refund
with promo code NEWBONUS
Join betTOM with promo code NEWBONUS and get access to their £25 Free Bet Refunds offer. 18+ only. T&Cs apply.
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