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Cheltenham Festival 2024 Tips - Turners' Novices' Chase contender worth backing at 14/1

jon-vine
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Last updated: 06 Mar 2024
jon-vine
Jon Vine 06 Mar 2024
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  • Our third ante-post tip for the 2024 Cheltenham Festival
  • We've backed Fact To File at 14/1 for the 2024 Turners' Novices' Chase
  • The 2024 Turners' Novices' Chase will be run at Cheltenham on Thursday 14th March
fact to file
Mark Walsh riding Fact To File easily win The Ballymaloe Relish Rising Stars Beginners Chase at Leopardstown. (Getty)

Following a frenetic period of racing over Christmas, we've put up a 14/1 shot as our third Cheltenham Festival 2024 ante-post tip.

2024 Turners' Novices' Chase Tips - Fact To File


Gaelic Warrior was slashed into Even-money favouritism for the Turners' Novices' Chase, following an impressive Grade One triumph at Limerick. Patrick Mullins' mount jumped superbly again, making it five wins from five starts around right-handed tracks.

Going left-handed, Gaelic Warrior's record is quite different. Mullins' star was well beaten on all three of his starts at Auteuil and has twice suffered defeat at the Cheltenham Festival. Given what he's gone on to achieve, it was only the track that beat Gaelic Warrior off a mark of 129 in the 2022 Boodles and Patrick reported that his mount hung right-handed all the way down the home straight in last year's Ballymore.

Given his tendency to jump right, Cheltenham isn't a track that suits Gaelic Warrior. Willie Mullins has Grade One races that he can target at Fairyhouse and Punchestown later in the season, so he could give the Turners' Novices' Chase a miss. If Gaelic Warrior were to return to Cheltenham, then he could be worth taking on at a very short price.

Despite his loss at Leopardstown over Christmas, I would be surprised if Facile Vega was rerouted from the Arkle. Willie also has the Arkle earmarked for both Blood Destiny and Il Etait Temps. Grangeclare West tops the market for the Brown Advisory Novices' Chase, a race which would also suit strong stayers like Embassy Gardens and Nick Rockett.

Another Willie Mullins chaser to impress over Christmas was FACT TO FILE (14/1). Runner-up to A Dream To Share in last year's Champion Bumper, Mullins decided to send his six-year-old straight over fences this term, and Fact To File lost nothing in defeat to American Mike on his chasing debut at Navan.

Mark Walsh's mount then took on two high-class hurdlers in Zanahiyr and Minella Cocooner in the Rising Stars Beginners Chase. Mark Walsh's mount jumped nicely throughout, opening up a lengthy lead down the back-straight before keeping on strongly beat Zanahiyr by 17 lengths.

Like Willie Mullins, JP McManus will be keen to keep his top novice chasers apart. Inthepocket looks tailor-made for the Arkle. Corbetts Cross was beaten by Grangeclare West at Leopardstown, but Emmet Mullins' runner hit the line hard back in second and I'm not sure the drop down to two-and-a-half miles would suit.

I presume Fact To File will be aimed at the 2m5f Grade One Novices' Chase during the Dublin Racing Festival next. Another strong showing there would see Fact To File's odds for Cheltenham shorten considerably. 

2024 Cheltenham Festival Ante-Post Tips


Name
Race
Price Taken
Firefox2024 Supreme Novices' Hurdle10/1
Sir Gerhard2024 Stayers' Hurdle20/1
Fact To File2024 Turners' Novices' Chase14/1

Verdict

The Turners' Novices' Chase looks to be the ideal target for Fact To File at this stage of his career. He could even be Willie Mullins' number one runner for the race, if he runs well at the Dublin Racing Festival and Gaelic Warrior is kept to right-handed tracks. 14/1 could turn out to be a massive price.

Best Bet1: Fact To File 2024 Turners' Novices' Chase Ante-Post Tip @14/1 at BoyleSports - 10 Units
Fact To File
2024 Turners' Novices' Chase Ante-Post Tip
@14/1 - 10 Units
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