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2022 Sussex Stakes Tips & Predictions

DateWednesday 27th July, 2022
ClassGroup 1
Race TypeSet weights
Prize money£1 million

Day 2 of the Goodwood carnival is headlined by the $1 million Sussex Stakes.

The one-mile feature race is considered the highlight of the five-day carnival as the best English and Irish milers come together after a lengthy season.

Betting on the Sussex Stakes is extremely popular with both local and international punters.

Sussex Stakes day betting card 2022

It's all about the Sussex Stakes on the first day of August. The other races on the card don't possess group value but provide a nice betting undercard.

1:50pm Unibet "15 To Go" Handicap Class 2
2:25pm Oak Tree Stakes Group 3
3:00pm Molecomb Stakes Group 3
3:35pm  Sussex Stakes Group 1
4:10pm Fillies' Conditions Stakes Class 2
4:45pm Fillies' Handicap Class 2
5:20pm Singleton Handicap Class 3

2022 Sussex Stakes Tips

Our guide to the 2022 Sussex Stakes will go live when the field has been finalised.

2022 Sussex Stakes Odds

Alcohol Free16/1
Order Of Australia16/1
Real World16/1

*Odds taken on 20/7/22*

2021 Sussex Stakes Result

1stAlcohol Free7/2
2ndPoetic Flare11/8f
3rdSnow Lantern6/1

2022 Sussex Stakes Entries

Baaeed has extended his unbeaten record to eight this season, following effortless wins in the Lockinge and the Queen Anne Stakes. Haggas' star could face three-year-olds for the first time next Wednesday, but that hasn't stopped bet365 from listed Baaeed as their overwhelming 4/11 favourite.

Leading the charge against the market leader is Charlie Appleby's Coroebus. William Buick's mount built on his 2000 Guineas success with a narrow victory in the St James's Palace Stakes at Royal Ascot and Baaeed will have to give Appleby's Classic winner eight pounds at the weights.

Defending champion, Alcohol Free could step back up to a mile after winning the July Cup on her most recent start. Real World could square off against Baaeed again, having followed the favourite home at Newbury and Royal Ascot.

Aldaary could join stablemate Baaeed in the field at Glorious Goodwood. Aidan O'Brien has entered up Queen Anne third, Order Of Australia and Prix Jean Prat winner, Tenebrism. Other possible runners include Richard Hannon's Chindit, Ralph Beckett's three-year-old Angel Bleu, and Japanese Group Two winner, Bathrat Leon.

Sussex Stakes History

The first running of the Sussex Stakes was in 1841 and there have been 14 walkovers since, but it has since become the biggest race at Goodwood.

Having previously played second fiddle to the likes of the Goodwood Cup and Stewards' Cup, the Sussex Stakes quickly rose to fame and it's now one of the most popular betting races in the UK.

Only one horse has scored multiple wins in the Sussex Stakes when Frankel won in 2011 and 2012. Which also gave Sir Henry Cecil his sixth and seventh wins in the great race.

He's currently the leading trainer having also trained the likes of Wollow, Kris and Distant View.

Aidan O'Brien is getting closer on five wins. His most recent came with The Gurkha in 2016 and he has lined up thoroughbred champions Giant's Causeway, Rock of Gibraltar, Henrythenavigator and Rip Van Winkle.

Those champions have since become stars in the breeding barn and there's no doubting the impact the Sussex Stakes has on their stud value.

One of the most impressive wins came from Frankel in 2010 when the unbeaten colt scorched 15 lengths clear of the field halfway through the race. The great champion scored by eight lengths in one of the most dominant feats in modern day history.

Frankel would repeat the effort a year later, winning by six lengths at miniscule odds of 1/20.

Only four runners competed in 2014 when Kingman scored by a length. The stake money wasn't as big then but the field was disappointing none-the-less.

Despite being a highly-regarded race, field numbers are extremely low. Frankel defeated only six rivals over his two-year reign.

Seven-year-olds claimed back-to-back wins in 2017 and '18, with Here Comes When and Lightning Spear beating the youngsters. Too Darn Hot claimed a win back for the three-year-olds the following year, before Mohaafeth scored an impressive win in the 2020 Sussex Stakes.

Andrew Balding's filly Alcohol Free took down 2000 Guineas winner Poetic Flare to win the Sussex Stakes in 2021.

Sussex Stakes betting guide

Here Comes When caused an upset in 2017 when winning at 20/1, but the race had been dominated by favourites for the previous nine years.

Since 2008 when Henrythenavigator won at 4/11, there has been seven favourites win the Sussex Stakes and one second favourite (Toronado at 11/4).

It's the best record for favourites in any British race and it is why punters love betting into the markets.

Odds-on favourites have won six of the last nine races and it typically takes a champion to win the race, hence the short odds.

The small fields also make it easier for the dominant horses to win and even Rip Van Winkle was the favourite after going winless in three previous runs that season.

All but three winners from the last 12 years had been successful at Group 1 level. Rip Van Winkle, Toronado and Here Comes When were all first-time winners at Group 1 level, but all three had won in group grade.
Most of the recent winners had 43 days in between runs, so punters should look for this in the betting guides.

Recent Sussex Stakes winners

Race Winner
2021Alcohol Free
2019Too Darn Hot
2018Lightning Spear
2017 Here Comes When
2016The Gurkha
2010Canford Cliffs
2009Rip Van Winkle
2006Court Masterpiece
2004Soviet Song
2003Reel Buddy
2002Rock of Gibraltar
2000Giant's Causeway
1998Among Men
1996First Island
1994Distant View
1991Second Set
1990Distant Relative