Sussex Stakes Tips & Predictions

DateWednesday August 1, 2018
ClassGroup 1
Race TypeSet weights
Prize money£1 million

{The favourite has won eight of the last nine Sussex Stakes and six of the winners were at odds-on prices.}

Day 2 of the Goodwood carnival is headlined by the $1 million Sussex Stakes.

The one-mile feature race is considered the highlight of the five-day carnival as the best English and Irish milers come together after a lengthy season.

Betting on the Sussex Stakes is extremely popular with both local and international punters.

Sussex Stakes day betting card 2018

It's all about the Sussex Stakes on the first day of August. The other races on the card don't possess group value but provide a nice betting undercard.

Race No.
Race Name
1Goodwood Handicap
2Betting Exchange Handicap
3Molecomb Stakes
4Sussex Stakes
5Fillies' Stakes
6Fillies' Handicap
7Cantor Fitzgerald Handicap

Sussex Stakes betting selections & tips

We will have expert tips for the Sussex Stakes available when the final-field markets are released by bookmakers.

Sussex Stakes history

The first running of the Sussex Stakes was in 1841 and there have been 14 walkovers since, but it has since become the biggest race at Goodwood.

Having previously played second fiddle to the likes of the Goodwood Cup and Stewards' Cup, the Sussex Stakes quickly rose to fame and it's now one of the most popular betting races in the UK.

Only one horse has scored multiple wins in the Sussex Stakes when Frankel won in 2011 and 2012. Which also gave Sir Henry Cecil his sixth and seventh wins in the great race.

He's currently the leading trainer having also trained the likes of Wollow, Kris and Distant View.

Aidan O'Brien is getting closer on five wins. His most recent came with The Gurkha in 2016 and he has lined up thoroughbred champions Giant's Causeway, Rock of Gibraltar, Henrythenavigator and Rip Van Winkle.

Those champions have since become stars in the breeding barn and there's no doubting the impact the Sussex Stakes has on their stud value.

One of the most impressive wins came from Frankel in 2010 when the unbeaten colt scorched 15 lengths clear of the field halfway through the race. The great champion scored by eight lengths in one of the most dominant feats in modern day history.

Frankel would repeat the effort a year later, winning by six lengths at miniscule odds of 1/20.

Only four runners competed in 2014 when Kingman scored by a length. The stake money wasn't as big then but the field was disappointing none-the-less.

Despite being a highly-regarded race, field numbers are extremely low. Frankel defeated only six rivals over his two-year reign.

Sussex Stakes betting guide

Here Comes When caused an upset in 2017 when winning at 20/1, but the race had been dominated by favourites for the previous nine years.

Since 2008 when Henrythenavigator won at 4/11, there has been seven favourites win the Sussex Stakes and one second favourite (Toronado at 11/4).

It's the best record for favourites in any British race and it is why punters love betting into the markets.

Odds-on favourites have won six of the last nine races and it typically takes a champion to win the race, hence the short odds.

The small fields also make it easier for the dominant horses to win and even Rip Van Winkle was the favourite after going winless in three previous runs that season.

All but three winners from the last 12 years had been successful at Group 1 level. Rip Van Winkle, Toronado and Here Comes When were all first-time winners at Group 1 level, but all three had won in group grade.
Most of the recent winners had 43 days in between runs, so punters should look for this in the betting guides.

Sussex Stakes trends

  • Eight of the last 12 winners were aged three of four.

  • Eight of the last nine winners were tote favourites, with only 2017 winner Here Comes When breaking the streak.

  • All 12 winners had their most recent run in the last 43 days.

  • Nine of the last 12 winners had at least one Group 1 win, with Frankel owning seven when winning in 2012.

Recent Sussex Stakes winners

Race Winner
2017Here Comes When
2016The Gurkha
2010Canford Cliffs
2009Rip Van Winkle
2006Court Masterpiece
2004Soviet Song
2003Reel Buddy
2002Rock of Gibraltar
2000Giant's Causeway
1998Among Men
1996First Island
1994Distant View
1991Second Set
1990Distant Relative