2021 Sussex Stakes Tips & Predictions


DateWednesday 28th July, 2021
TrackGoodwood
Distance1m
ClassGroup 1
Race TypeSet weights
Prize money£1 million
Age3YO+

Day 2 of the Goodwood carnival is headlined by the $1 million Sussex Stakes.

The one-mile feature race is considered the highlight of the five-day carnival as the best English and Irish milers come together after a lengthy season.

Betting on the Sussex Stakes is extremely popular with both local and international punters.

Sussex Stakes day betting card 2021

It's all about the Sussex Stakes on the first day of August. The other races on the card don't possess group value but provide a nice betting undercard.

Time
Title
Status
1:50pm Unibet "15 To Go" Handicap Class 2
2:25pm Oak Tree Stakes Group 3
3:00pm Molecomb Stakes Group 3
3:35pm  Sussex Stakes Group 1
4:10pm Fillies' Conditions Stakes Class 2
4:45pm Fillies' Handicap Class 2
5:20pm Singleton Handicap Class 3

2021 Sussex Stakes Tips

Our guide to the 2021 Sussex Stakes will go live when the field has been finalised.

2021 Sussex Stakes Odds

Name
Odds
Poetic Flare4/6
Alcohol Free13/2
Order Of Australia7/1
Lope Y Fernandez8/1
Tilsit10/1
Bar14/1

*Odds taken on 22/7/21*

2020 Sussex Stakes Result

Position
Name
SP
1stMohaather3/1
2ndCircus Maximus6/1
3rdSiskin9/4f

2021 Sussex Stakes Entries

Poetic Flare will be going for his third Group One of the season at Goodwood, having already won the 2000 Guineas and the St James's Palace Stakes already this season. In-between those wins were excellent efforts in the French and Irish Guineas, so it's little wonder why Unibet is listing Poetic Flare as their 4/6 favourite.

Coronation Stakes winner Alcohol Free could take on the colts for the first time, after a solid third in the Falmouth Stakes at Newmarket. 

Summer Mile winner Tilsit could fly the flag for Charlie Hills. Chindit could make his third Group One appearance in a row,  and Lady Bowthorpe looks another likely runner for William Jarvis.

Aidan O'Brien could run shock Breeders' Cup winner, Order Of Australia and Queen Anne Stakes runner-up, Lope Y Fernandez as he bids to win his sixth Sussex Stakes. Battleground is another possible runner for the master of Ballydoyle.

Thunder Moon could make an appearance at Glorious Goodwood, but the ground will likely be a little too quick for Joseph O'Brien's raider. Derab, Naval Crown and Maximal also feature in the betting.

Sussex Stakes History

The first running of the Sussex Stakes was in 1841 and there have been 14 walkovers since, but it has since become the biggest race at Goodwood.

Having previously played second fiddle to the likes of the Goodwood Cup and Stewards' Cup, the Sussex Stakes quickly rose to fame and it's now one of the most popular betting races in the UK.

Only one horse has scored multiple wins in the Sussex Stakes when Frankel won in 2011 and 2012. Which also gave Sir Henry Cecil his sixth and seventh wins in the great race.

He's currently the leading trainer having also trained the likes of Wollow, Kris and Distant View.

Aidan O'Brien is getting closer on five wins. His most recent came with The Gurkha in 2016 and he has lined up thoroughbred champions Giant's Causeway, Rock of Gibraltar, Henrythenavigator and Rip Van Winkle.

Those champions have since become stars in the breeding barn and there's no doubting the impact the Sussex Stakes has on their stud value.

One of the most impressive wins came from Frankel in 2010 when the unbeaten colt scorched 15 lengths clear of the field halfway through the race. The great champion scored by eight lengths in one of the most dominant feats in modern day history.

Frankel would repeat the effort a year later, winning by six lengths at miniscule odds of 1/20.

Only four runners competed in 2014 when Kingman scored by a length. The stake money wasn't as big then but the field was disappointing none-the-less.

Despite being a highly-regarded race, field numbers are extremely low. Frankel defeated only six rivals over his two-year reign.

Seven-year-olds claimed back-to-back wins in 2017 and '18, with Here Comes When and Lightning Spear beating the youngsters. Too Darn Hot claimed a win back for the three-year-olds the following year, before Mohaafeth scored an impressive win in the 2020 Sussex Stakes.

Sussex Stakes betting guide

Here Comes When caused an upset in 2017 when winning at 20/1, but the race had been dominated by favourites for the previous nine years.

Since 2008 when Henrythenavigator won at 4/11, there has been seven favourites win the Sussex Stakes and one second favourite (Toronado at 11/4).

It's the best record for favourites in any British race and it is why punters love betting into the markets.

Odds-on favourites have won six of the last nine races and it typically takes a champion to win the race, hence the short odds.

The small fields also make it easier for the dominant horses to win and even Rip Van Winkle was the favourite after going winless in three previous runs that season.

All but three winners from the last 12 years had been successful at Group 1 level. Rip Van Winkle, Toronado and Here Comes When were all first-time winners at Group 1 level, but all three had won in group grade.
Most of the recent winners had 43 days in between runs, so punters should look for this in the betting guides.

Recent Sussex Stakes winners


Year
Race Winner
2020Mohaafeth
2019Too Darn Hot
2018Lightning Spear
2017 Here Comes When
2016The Gurkha
2015Solow
2014Kingman
2013Toronado
2012Frankel
2011Frankel
2010Canford Cliffs
2009Rip Van Winkle
2008Henrythenavigator
2007Ramonti
2006Court Masterpiece
2005Proclamation
2004Soviet Song
2003Reel Buddy
2002Rock of Gibraltar
2001Noverre
2000Giant's Causeway
1999Aljabr
1998Among Men
1997Ali-Royal
1996First Island
1995Sayyedati
1994Distant View
1993Bigstone
1992Marling
1991Second Set
1990Distant Relative
1989Zilzal
1988Warning