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Grand National 2022 Tips - Two final selections for world's most famous race

08 Apr 2022
jon-vine
Jon Vine 08 Apr 2022
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  • Final tips and selections for the 2022 Grand National
  • The Grand National takes place at Aintree on Saturday 9th April
  • We run through the latest odds, our ante-post tips and some key trends
  • Any Second Now and Fiddlerontheroof have been added to our book of Grand National bets
grand national aintree
Any Second Now (right) was an unlucky third behind Minella Times in last year's Grand National. (Getty)

The sporting world will come to a standstill at 5:15pm on Saturday afternoon, as 40 of the sport's finest chasers take part in the 2022 Grand National.

The final confirmations for Saturday's renewal won't be announced until tomorrow, but the final field has all but been confirmed and the betting is really starting to ramp up.

Here's our guide to the 2022 Grand National, including a look at our ante-post tips, the latest odds, some important trends information and two final selections.
    2022 Grand National Final Guide
  • Odds
  • Ante-Post Tips
  • Key Trends Checklist
  • Important Weight Info
  • Grand National Tip 1 - ANY SECOND NOW
  • Grand National Tip 2 - FIDDLERONTHEROOF

Grand National 2022 Tips - Final Guide


Odds


Name
Odds
Delta Work8/1
Snow Leopardess8/1
Any Second Now10/1
Escaria Ten12/1
Enjoy D'allen14/1
Fiddlerontheroof14/1
Bar16/1

Ante-Post Tips


When the weights were announced for the 2022 Grand National, I backed three runners at lengthy prices. You can read the full analysis of our ante-post Grand National tips on our website, but here's a brief breakdown.

The first was FARCLAS at 25/1. Gordon Elliott said on a number of occasions during the build-up that last year's fifth had been laid out for a return to Aintree. Yet, connections have made a late u-turn and decided to save Farclas for the Irish National at Fairyhouse instead. 

GOOD BOY BOBBY was my second selection at 40/1. Nigel Twiston-Davies' charge could only finish seventh at Kempton last time out. He was, however, carrying 11-12 that day and ran well for a long way before top-weight overwhelmed him in the closing stages.

I also took a punt on BRAHMA BULL at 66/1. Willie Mullins' eleven-year-old can now be backed at triple-figure prices following his failure to complete the Cross Country at Cheltenham. 

Mullins' charge was still traveling comfortably until a slight blunder immediately before a sharp right turn saw Brian Hayes thrown from the saddle. I haven't completely given up hope on Brahma Bull, but the rain that's forecast to hit Aintree during the build-up will do Mullins' teenager no favours.

Key Trends Checklist


Earlier this week, I looked through the last ten renewals of the Grand National and found 12 recurring trends. To see how this year's field stacked up when compared against the Grand National trends, read the article on our website. Here's the 12-point trends checklist...

  • Age - Between 8 and 11
  • Weight - 11-00 or less
  • Rating - 146 or more
  • Chase Starts - 10 or more
  • Handicap Wins - 2 or less
  • Season Starts - Between 3 and 6
  • Season Form - At least 1 win or 1 second
  • Last Start Date - No longer than 85 days ago
  • Last Result - 4th or better
  • Distance - Won at least one 3m chase
  • Stamina - Won or placed over 3m2f or further
  • National Fences - Never tried them or placed over them

Important Weight Info


As we mentioned in the trends checklist above, horses carrying less than 11 stone have enjoyed plenty of success in the Grand National. In the last 10 years, 75% of the horses who've finished in the first six places carried less than 11-00.

However, in the last decade, 75% of the horses who've run in the Grand National carried 10-13 or less. Lower-weighted horses haven't outperformed their higher-rated rivals. They've simply outnumbered them.

No horse carrying more than 10-13 even finished the race last year, but thanks to Bristol De Mai, only six of the 40 entrants carried 11-00 or more. The previous year, 14 of the 40 runners shouldered more than 10-13 and four of those 14 finished in the first six.

As things stand, 16 of the final 40 will be carrying 11-00 or more on Saturday. That's the highest percentage we've seen since 2010, when AP McCoy guided Don't Push It (11-5) to victory over Black Apalachi (11-6). 

In comparison to previous years, the weights seem very top-heavy this year. It's much less of a risk backing runners towards the top-end of the ratings than it may seem, so I'm going to tip two runners who sit in the top quarter of the weights.

any second now chase
Any Second Now won the Kim Muir at Cheltenham in 2019. (Getty)

Grand National Tip 1 - ANY SECOND NOW


Any Second Now2022 Grand National TipsGET 10/1 HERE
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Although he has to carry almost a stone more on his back this time around, there's a very good chance that ANY SECOND NOW can go two better than last year and win the 2022 Grand National.

Mark Walsh's mount set off behind the leaders and jumped the first ten fences nicely. Any Second Now blundered his way through the fence just after Valentines, but seemed to have recovered well. Then, at the 12th flight, Walsh's mount was badly hampered by the falling Double Shuffle, and was shuffled back from fourth to around 20th along the inside rail.

A series of flawless jumps saw Any Second Now reclaim a share of fifth jumping Bechers' Brook for the second time. Making up so much ground in a short space of time was always going to take its toll in the closing stages and Any Second Now could only finish third.

Ted Walsh gave his ten-year-old two spins over hurdles at the start of the season. Any Second Now limbered up for his return to the Grand National with a brilliant victory in the Bobby Jo Chase, beating Escaria Ten by a nose when conceding eight pounds to his Aintree rival. 

That incident at the 12th cost Any Second Now at least 12 lengths last year. Given he crossed the line just eight lengths behind Minella Times, it wouldn't be much of a stretch to say he would have won the 2021 Grand National had he enjoyed a smooth passage through the race.

Ted Walsh will be praying for a trouble-free run this time around. If Mark Walsh can keep his nose clean, avoid the fallers and jump fluently, Any Second Now will be there-or-thereabouts.

Grand National Tip 2 - FIDDLERONTHEROOF


Fiddlerontheroof E/W2022 Grand National TipsGET 14/1 HERE
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Tragedy struck the Tizzard family last season, when Colin's daughter, Kim Gingell lost her battle with cancer. Kim was an integral part of the team at Venn Farm, and her loss coincided with the worst season the Tizzards had endured on the track since 2014.

Despite his trainer's poor form, FIDDLERONTHEROOF enjoyed a decent novice chase campaign in 2020/21. The 2020 Tolworth winner only won one of his seven starts, but did finish second in three Grade Twos and the Brown Advisory Chase, where he crossed the line six lengths adrift of Monkfish.

Fiddlerontheroof announced his intentions for the season with a fine victory in the Colin Parker Memorial Chase up at Carlisle in October. Brendan Powell's mount was then beaten half-a-length in the Ladbrokes Trophy at Newbury, before producing a similarly impressive weight-carrying performance to finish second to Fortescue in the Swinley Chase at Ascot.

Tizzard's eight-year-old is yet to win over three miles. As was last year's Grand National winner Minella Times, and Fiddlerontheroof's placed form over three miles reads really well. Powell will be having his first ride in the Grand National on Saturday. I doubt whether this three-time Cheltenham Festival winner will be overawed by the occasion and I'm sure his father - who rode 1988 Grand National winner Rhyme 'n' Reason - will have imparted as much wisdom as possible.

Fiddlerontheroof will be Colin Tizzard's final runner in National, before he hands the keys to Venn Farm over to son, Joe at the end of the season. The Grand National is all about stories and victory in this most famous of races would be the perfect way to end Colin's magnificent career as a trainer.

Ladbrokes Trophy
Fiddlerontheroof (left) narrowly loses out to Cloudy Glen in the Ladbrokes Trophy. (Getty)
GB

Verdict

Any Second Now and Fiddlerontheroof are our final selections in the 2022 Grand National.

2022 Grand National Tips: Any Second Now Each-Way @10/1 at William Hill - 10 Units
2022 Grand National Tips: Fiddlerontheroof Each-Way @14/1 at bet365 - 10 Units
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