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2023 Caulfield Cup Tips - Will the Fight be won at Caulfield?

gary-emmerson
20 Oct 2023
gary-emmerson
Gary Emmerson 20 Oct 2023
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  • The Caulfield Cup is one of three majors run over of the Melbourne Spring Carnival
  • The 2023 edition will be contested on Saturday, October 21
  • Gold Trip heads a competitive market
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Without A Fight is one the leading contenders in the 2023 Caulfield Cup. (Getty)
 

The Caulfield Cup is the world's richest 2400m handicap and is one of Australia's three premier spring races, with the 2023 edition set to be another memorable affair on Saturday.

This $5 million major draws both local and international stars, and the 2023 edition is no exception, with Japanese and European visitors taking on acceptances from most of the leading Australian yards.

Off a brilliant last-start Turnbull Stakes win, Gold Trip is the current favourite. But where does the value lie in the 2023 Caulfield Cup?

2023 Caulfield Cup Tips


Best Bet - Without A Fight

Anthony & Sam Freedman opted to send the seven-year-old straight to the Caulfield Cup after his slashing Underwood Stakes return, having recorded the fastest closing sectionals of that Group 1.

That 1800m feature is a strong form race, with two subsequent Group 1 winners produced from the Underwood, while Vow And Declare, Lunar Flare and Duais also performed well at their next starts. 

Without A Fight couldn't have been more impressive over a short Brisbane winter prep, where the son of Teofilo went back-to-back and was saved for the Melbourne spring after his Q22 romp.

In terms of a lead-up, especially with 2400m in mind, he couldn't be going any better ahead of his target assignment and while it's a strong edition of the Caulfield Cup, he's arguably the safest pick.

Next Best Bet - Breakup

Damian Lane on any horse is worth respecting, but given his success in Japan, along with major wins when combined with Japanese visitors in Australia, his engagement on Breakup is very significant.

Lane partnered the last Japanese horse that contested a Caulfield Cup when Mer De Glace sensationally took out the 2019 edition, albeit that winner (at the time) was more progressive than this entire.

As a seasoned horse who has won a Group race, but is just a rung or so off the elite in Japan, Breakup's profile isn't dissimilar to the resume of Admire Rakti, who won the 2014 Caulfield Cup with 58kg.

Barring his tries against a freak in Equinox, the six-year-old has been holding his form in the world's strongest jurisdiction and his last two wins have come in similar conditions (12 furlongs/anti-clockwise).

Value Bet - Duke De Sessa

A versatile import prepared by Ciaron Maher & David Eustace, Duke De Sessa was heavily supported to win the Doncaster Mile in autumn via his Australian debut, but those bets didn't land.

It was still a respectable performance from the five-year-old, who made decent inroads from off the speed after overcoming trouble and spelled after that, he then resumed in the Memsie.

Duke De Sessa wasn't disgraced in that 1400m WFA feature, however, that trip proved too short and then second-up, he contested the Turnbull Stakes, where he was competitive without threatening.

It lacked the flashing light of others, although the tongue tie goes on (which was recommended) and John Allen getting down to 53kg suggests that the Caulfield Cup has been the long-range target.

2023 Caulfield Cup Field & Odds

Odds courtesy of TopSport & correct at 12am on 19/10/2023.
No.
Horse
Trainer
Jockey
Barrier
Weight
Odds
1Gold Trip (FR)Ciaron Maher & David Eustace Ben Melham 1158.5kg$5.50
2Without A Fight (IRE)Anthony & Sam FreedmanMark Zahra755.5kg $7.50
3Breakup (JPN)Tatsuya YoshiokaDamian Lane 555kg $8.50
4MontefiliaChris WallerBlake Shinn954.5kg$15
5Francesco Guardi (IRE)Chris Waller James McDonald1554kg $17
6West Wind Blows (IRE)Sam & Ed CrisfordJamie Spencer254kg $7
7NonconformistGrahame BeggHarry Coffey 1953.5kg $34
8Soulcombe (GB)Chris Waller Craig Williams653.5kg $6.50
9Duke De Sessa (IRE)Ciaron Maher & David Eustace John Allen1453kg $26
10Hoo Ya Mal (GB)Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott Tim Clark853kg $15
11Right You AreCiaron Maher & David Eustace Michael Dee1353kg $31
12Emissary (GB)Michael MoroneyJye McNeil 452kg $81
13Goldman (NZ)Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott Linda Meech1852kg $51
14Okita Soushi (IRE)Joseph O'BrienKerrin McEvoy1251.5kg $26
15FamePeter G Moody & Katherine ColemanCraig Newitt1651kg $101
16Bois D'argent (GB)Annabel NeashamWinona Costin350.5kg$71
17Spirit Ridge (GB)Annabel Neasham Dean Yendall1050.5kg $31
18Valiant King (GB)Joseph O'Brien Jamie Kah150kg$15
19eUnited Nations (IRE)Ciaron Maher & David Eustace Carleen Hefel (a)1750kg $67
                                                                                    

Verdict

Our tips for the 2023 Caulfield Cup are:

Best Bet: Without A Fight To Win @13/2 at Boylesports - 5 Units
Best Bet2: Breakup To Win @15/2 at Hollywood bets - 1 Unit
Best Bet3: Duke De Sessa Each Way @25/1 at Grosvenor Sports - 1 Unit
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