British Champions Day 2023 at Ascot is packed with high-stakes Group One and Two races. Key trendsetters like Trueshan, Kinross, Rue Boissonade, Tahiyra, Horizon Dore, and My Prospero provide an exciting lineup with strong performances predicted based on historical trends and current ratings.
We focus on the four Group Ones and the Long Distance Cup
Trueshan, Kinross and Tahiyra feature in our trendsetters treble
Hollie Doyle riding Trueshan (L) win The Qipco British Champions Long Distance Cup. (Getty)
The countdown is on ahead of British Champions Day 2023, which will take place at Ascot this Saturday afternoon.
Four fantastic Group One races headline Saturday's card, which also features the Group Two Long Distance Cup and the thrilling Balmoral Handicap. Here are the key trends for all five of the Group One and Two races on British Champions Day and the top trendsetters for each race. We've also rolled the three outstanding trendsetters into this Champions Day Treble...
Long Distance Cup Trends
9 of the last 10 winners had won that season
9 of the last 10 winners had run between two and six times that season
9 of the last 10 winners were rated 109 or above (One unrated)
8 of the last 10 winners were four, five or six years old
8 of the last 10 winners finished 1st or 2nd last time out
8 of the last 10 winners ran inside the last 36 days
7 of the last 10 winners returned an SP of 6/1 or shorter
7 of the last 10 winners had won at Group One level
7 of the last 10 winners ran in a Group One or Group Two last time out
Long Distance Cup Trendsetter - Trueshan
A fairly obvious challenger to come out best at the trends, seeing as he's won the last three renewals of this Group Two. Only TRUESHAN'S advancing age stops him from ticking off all nine of the trends above, and his last two performances suggest that Alan King's seven-year-old is just as good as ever.
Champions Sprint Trends
10 of the last 10 winners were between three and six years old
9 of the last 10 winners were rated 112 or above
9 of the last 10 winners had won at Group Three level or above
8 of the last 10 winners had run between four and eight times that season
8 of the last 10 winners had won that season
8 of the last 10 winners ran in a Group One race last time out
8 of the last 10 winners either ran in the Sprint Cup at Haydock or after
8 of the last 10 winners finished 1st or 2nd last time out
7 of the last 10 winners returned an SP of 10/1 or shorter
7 of the last 10 winners were drawn in stall 10 or lower
Champions Sprint Trendsetter - Kinross
Again, it's the defending champion who comes out best at the trends and KINROSS is only likely to get shorter in the betting as we build up to Saturday's race. Sandrine outperformed the rest of the field, with only the fact that she ran in a Group Two race last time counting against her.
Champion Fillies' & Mares' Trends
10 of the last 10 winners had run at least three times that season
10 of the last 10 winners had won that season
9 of the last 10 winners were rated 108 or above
8 of the last 10 winners were three years old
8 of the last 10 winners ran in a Group One last time out
8 of the last 10 winners ran in the last 37 days
8 of the last 10 winners had run over 12 furlongs at least twice
7 of the last 10 winners returned an SP of 5/1 or shorter
Champion Fillies' & Mares' Trendsetter - Rue Boissonade
Three-year-olds have dominated their elders in the Fillies & Mares over the past decade and it's the French raider, RUE BOISSONADE who ticks off the most trends. Mikel Delzangle's filly has won at Group Two level over this trip and drops back down to 12 furlongs following an impressive fourth in the Prix de Royallieu on her most recent start.
Tahiyra ridden by Chris Hayes crosses the line to win The Coronation Stakes during day four of Royal Ascot 2023. (Getty)
Queen Elizabeth II Stakes Trends
9 of the last 10 winners had run at least three times that season
9 of the last 10 winners had won that season
9 of the last 10 winners were drawn in stall six or wider
9 of the last 10 winners finished 1st or 2nd last time out
9 of the last 10 winners had run in the last 49 days
8 of the last 10 winners had previously won at Group One or Group Two level
8 of the last 10 winners were rated 115 or above
7 of the last 10 winners were three years old
7 of the last 10 winners returned an SP of 5/1 or shorter
Queen Elizabeth II Stakes Trendsetter - Tahiyra
As expected, Paddington and TAHIYRA top the trends checklist for this historic Group One. Paddington hasn't been seen since his third-place finish in the Juddmonte International, which hands the advantage to Tahiyra, whose victory in the Matron Stakes took place at Leopardstown 42 days ago.
Champion Stakes Trends
9 of the last 10 winners returned an SP of 10/1 or shorter
9 of the last 10 winners had run at least three times that season
9 of the last 10 winners had won that season
8 of the last 10 winners were rated 120 or above
8 of the last 10 winners had previously won at Group One or Group Two level
8 of the last 10 winners had previously won over 10 furlongs
7 of the last 10 winners were four years old or older
7 of the last 10 winners finished 1st or 2nd last time out
Champion Stakes Trendsetter - Horizon Dore & My Prospero
Older horses have fared better than the three-year-olds in the last ten renewals of the Champion Stakes and that victory in the Foundation Stakes pushes MY PROSPERO to the head of the trends standings.
William Haggas' charge misses out on ticking off the full list of trends due to his current rating of 119, meaning he's joined at the head of the standings by three-year-old market leader, HORIZON DORE, who was handed a mark of 120 following his superb Group Two triumph at Longchamp last month.
